{ "source": "Cooked Index — occupational AI risk register", "page": "https://cookedindex.com/jobs/business-teachers-postsecondary/", "methodology": "https://cookedindex.com/methodology", "notice": "Verdicts are re-examined as evidence accumulates. Re-fetch before relying on this; the page above always carries the current score.", "scored_at": "2026-08-11", "model": "claude-opus-5", "occupation": { "title": "Business Teachers, Postsecondary", "soc_code": "25-1011", "category": "Education", "us_employment": 82150, "median_annual_wage": 99080 }, "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 42, "contested": false, "near_boundary": false, "dimensions": { "task_resistance": 9, "embodiment": 8, "liability_shield": 2, "trust_premium": 13, "judgment_accountability": 10 }, "reasoning": { "task_resistance": "Intro accounting, management, and marketing sections run on standardized content that a model can draft end to end — problem sets, cases, rubrics, discussion prompts — but the Socratic case session, cold-calling on a room of 60, and reading when a capstone team is quietly failing keep this out of the single digits' bottom, hence 9 rather than 4.", "embodiment": "You are physically in a lecture hall or seminar room on a fixed schedule, walking between team tables during group work and running in-person office hours, but the room is climate-controlled, the equipment is a projector, and a growing share of these sections already deliver fully online — that's a scheduling and presence constraint, not a hands-on one.", "liability_shield": "No state licence, no bar or CPA requirement to teach the material, and accreditation bodies like AACSB set faculty-qualification ratios at the institutional level — so the school can meet them with fewer bodies, adjuncts, or professionally-qualified practitioners, and nothing attaches personal legal exposure to you for what you teach.", "trust_premium": "Students choose sections by professor name, come back for recommendation letters and internship referrals, and MBA cohorts are explicitly paying for access to your industry contacts and placement network — that relationship is a real part of the product, though it sits at 13 rather than 18 because required intro sections get filled by whoever is assigned and most students never build a durable tie.", "judgment_accountability": "You set grade boundaries, handle academic-integrity accusations, decide whether a struggling student gets an incomplete, and choose what goes in the syllabus — genuine discretion, but bounded by department curricula, common finals, appeals committees, and the fact that a bad call gets reviewed rather than becoming irreversible." }, "rationale": "Much of the workload — building slide decks, writing syllabi and quiz banks, summarizing readings, drafting case studies, grading written assignments and giving feedback — is exactly what current models do at usable quality, and business content is the most heavily replicated subject matter on the internet. What survives is live classroom presence: running discussion-based case sessions, coaching student teams through consulting and capstone projects, and the alumni/recruiter network students are actually buying with tuition. No licensure protects the role, and the modal worker here is a contingent or non-tenure-track instructor teaching intro accounting, management, and marketing sections — the tier most exposed to larger sections, shared AI-built course shells, and online delivery.", "outlook": "Intro and online business sections consolidate around AI-built course materials and fewer instructors, while faculty who run discussion-driven, employer-connected, and executive-ed teaching keep their seats.", "what_would_raise_it": { "levers": [ { "dimension": "trust_premium", "change": "AACSB accreditation standards continue to require 'faculty qualifications' and 'sufficiency' ratios computed from human faculty engagement in each program, and employers/recruiters keep treating named-faculty case sessions and letters of recommendation as the signal they pay for. If AACSB adds an explicit standard limiting the share of instruction delivered without a human instructor of record, the premium concentrates further.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 3 }, { "dimension": "trust_premium", "change": "Executive-education and MBA pricing already depends on a specific named human in the room (Wharton/HBS-style paid case teaching, corporate custom programs). If more revenue shifts to short-form exec-ed where the buyer is a corporate L&D budget choosing a person, the paid-for-human component of the occupation rises even as intro sections thin.", "plausibility": "already happening", "would_add": 2 }, { "dimension": "task_resistance", "change": "Genuine two-tier structure: if AI absorbs slide decks, quiz banks, and first-pass grading, the residual job is live case facilitation, capstone/consulting-project supervision with real client firms, and academic-integrity adjudication — none of which current models run unsupervised. Task-mix shift raises resistance without any new rule, though it also shrinks headcount.", "plausibility": "already happening", "would_add": 4 }, { "dimension": "judgment_accountability", "change": "Instructor of record is the signer on grade appeals and academic-misconduct findings. If institutions adopt policies (as several Big Ten and Cal State campuses have drafted) requiring a named human faculty member to review and sign every AI-detection-based misconduct allegation and every contested grade, the role owns a consequential, appealable call under ambiguity.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 3 }, { "dimension": "liability_shield", "change": "Narrow route only: state authorization and regional accreditor rules (SACSCOC, HLC) that require a qualified human instructor of record for credit-bearing courses, plus Title IV federal 'regular and substantive interaction' rules for distance education, which the Department of Education has already used to disqualify courses lacking instructor-initiated interaction. If ED enforces RSI against AI-only delivery, a human of record becomes financially mandatory — institutional liability, not personal, so the lift is small.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 3 } ], "ceiling_note": "No personal licensure exists or is proposed for postsecondary teaching, so liability_shield cannot reach professional-signature levels. The upside is concentrated in elite, accredited, and exec-ed segments; for contingent intro-section instructors teaching large shared-shell courses, none of these levers reaches them, and task-mix shift raises the score of the surviving job while reducing the number of jobs." }, "adjudication": null, "employment_history": { "points": [ { "y": 2017, "emp": 84340, "wage": 80300 }, { "y": 2018, "emp": 84230, "wage": 83960 }, { "y": 2019, "emp": 83920, "wage": 87200 }, { "y": 2020, "emp": 79810, "wage": 88010 }, { "y": 2021, "emp": 79640, "wage": 94360 }, { "y": 2022, "emp": 78410, "wage": 88790 }, { "y": 2023, "emp": 82980, "wage": 97130 }, { "y": 2024, "emp": 81780, "wage": 97270 }, { "y": 2025, "emp": 82150, "wage": 99080 } ], "from": 2017, "to": 2025, "change_pct": -2.6, "comparable_from": 2019, "spans_soc_revision": true }, "pivots": [ { "slug": "law-teachers-postsecondary", "title": "Law Teachers, Postsecondary", "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 59, "median_wage": 128500, "overlap": 81, "skills_to_close": [ "Judgment and Decision Making" ] }, { "slug": "medical-and-health-services-managers", "title": "Medical and Health Services Managers", "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 55, "median_wage": 123860, "overlap": 63, "skills_to_close": [ "Management of Financial Resources", "Management of Material Resources", "Management of Personnel Resources", "Operations Analysis" ] }, { "slug": "gambling-managers", "title": "Gambling Managers", "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 61, "median_wage": 93220, "overlap": 63, "skills_to_close": [ "Management of Personnel Resources", "Management of Material Resources", "Quality Control Analysis", "Management of Financial Resources" ] } ], "license": "https://cookedindex.com/terms" }