{
  "source": "Cooked Index — occupational AI risk register",
  "page": "https://cookedindex.com/jobs/gambling-cage-workers/",
  "methodology": "https://cookedindex.com/methodology",
  "notice": "Verdicts are re-examined as evidence accumulates. Re-fetch before relying on this; the page above always carries the current score.",
  "scored_at": "2026-08-11",
  "model": "claude-opus-5",
  "occupation": {
    "title": "Gambling Cage Workers",
    "soc_code": "43-3041",
    "category": "Office",
    "us_employment": 14430,
    "median_annual_wage": 37580
  },
  "verdict": "COOKED",
  "risk_resistance": 32,
  "contested": false,
  "near_boundary": true,
  "dimensions": {
    "task_resistance": 7,
    "embodiment": 9,
    "liability_shield": 6,
    "trust_premium": 5,
    "judgment_accountability": 5
  },
  "reasoning": {
    "task_resistance": "At 7 the job sits just above fully-automatable because ticket kiosks and chip-sorting machines already handle redemption volume, but the residual duties — hand-counting a $200k drawer down to the penny at shift change, breaking bank for table fills, issuing and settling markers on a credit line, and physically sealing and transferring cash to the count room — still need a person in the cage, which is why it isn't a 4.",
    "embodiment": "A 9 reflects genuine manual work — currency counters, chip racks, coin bags, drop boxes, standing at a window for eight hours under dual-control procedures — but all of it happens in one hardened, camera-covered room on a single floor, nothing like a technician working in unpredictable outdoor or customer-site conditions.",
    "liability_shield": "Gaming-board registration or a key/non-key license is a fingerprint-and-background clearance that lets you touch the money, not an examination-based credential that makes you personally answerable for the transaction; at 6 you get slightly more protection than an unlicensed clerk because the state can pull your card, but the casino's compliance officer signs the CTRs and SARs and eats the Title 31 penalties.",
    "trust_premium": "A 5 fits because the guest at the window wants their $340 counted correctly and fast, and would take it from a kiosk without complaint — the only relationship value is with high-limit or credit players who prefer a known face for marker handling, and that's a thin slice of the shift.",
    "judgment_accountability": "At 5 the discretion is real but bounded: you decide whether an ID is acceptable, whether structuring looks deliberate, whether a check gets cashed — but each of those runs against a written internal-control procedure with a supervisor one step away, and escalation, not your own call, is the prescribed answer to anything ambiguous."
  },
  "rationale": "The cage job is cash-in/cash-out at a window: redeeming TITO tickets and chips, cashing checks, processing markers, counting drawers, and reconciling shift paperwork — and ticket kiosks plus automated chip counters have already absorbed a large share of that volume. What remains is physical currency handling in a tightly controlled room, plus Title 31 AML documentation and CTR/SAR flagging, which software drafts better than a human but a licensed employee still submits. Gaming-board registration is a background-check credential, not a professional sign-off that protects the task list.",
  "outlook": "Headcount keeps shrinking as kiosks and cashless wagering handle routine redemptions; the surviving cage roles concentrate in vault custody, compliance, and supervision at larger properties.",
  "what_would_raise_it": {
    "levers": [
      {
        "dimension": "liability_shield",
        "change": "FinCEN or a state gaming board making the casino's designated AML compliance signer a named, individually-registered person for each CTR/SAR filed from the cage — i.e. extending something like the Bank Secrecy Act's personal-liability posture (FinCEN has already pursued individual compliance officers, e.g. the 2014 MoneyGram Haider action) down to cage-level filers, with gaming-board registration converted into a revocable AML credential rather than a background check",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 4
      },
      {
        "dimension": "judgment_accountability",
        "change": "Nevada Gaming Commission Reg 6A / Title 31 examination practice treating the cage supervisor as the accountable decision-maker on suspicious-activity escalation, structuring refusals, and marker credit extension under ambiguity — with cited findings naming the individual, so the remaining role is the discretionary call the software cannot own",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 3
      },
      {
        "dimension": "task_resistance",
        "change": "Task-mix shift as kiosks and automated chip counters take the remaining routine redemption volume, leaving the job as exception handling: disputed tickets, counterfeit and altered currency, marker collection disputes, cash-structuring judgment, and drawer variance investigation. Genuine two-tier occupation, but the shrinking headcount comes with it",
        "plausibility": "already happening",
        "would_add": 3
      },
      {
        "dimension": "embodiment",
        "change": "Continued cash-preference among high-limit and unbanked patrons, plus state rules barring cashless wagering conversion (several jurisdictions still restrict digital wallets at the table), keeping physical currency verification, vault counts, and dual-custody transfers as hands-on work in a surveilled room",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 2
      }
    ],
    "ceiling_note": "No plausible trust-premium route: patrons choosing a kiosk over a window is the revealed preference, and no buyer pays extra for a human cashier. Even the liability and judgment levers raise the score of a role that keeps shrinking in headcount — resistance per remaining worker, not more workers."
  },
  "adjudication": {
    "method": "two independent runs agreed on the verdict",
    "outcome": "corroborated",
    "run_totals": [
      32,
      32
    ],
    "run_verdicts": [
      "COOKED",
      "COOKED"
    ]
  },
  "employment_history": {
    "points": [
      {
        "y": 2019,
        "emp": 14330,
        "wage": 28040
      },
      {
        "y": 2020,
        "emp": 10560,
        "wage": 28650
      },
      {
        "y": 2021,
        "emp": 11140,
        "wage": 29360
      },
      {
        "y": 2022,
        "emp": 11730,
        "wage": 31720
      },
      {
        "y": 2023,
        "emp": 12560,
        "wage": 36110
      },
      {
        "y": 2024,
        "emp": 13490,
        "wage": 36990
      },
      {
        "y": 2025,
        "emp": 14430,
        "wage": 37580
      }
    ],
    "from": 2019,
    "to": 2025,
    "change_pct": 0.7,
    "comparable_from": 2019,
    "spans_soc_revision": false
  },
  "pivots": [],
  "license": "https://cookedindex.com/terms"
}