{ "source": "Cooked Index — occupational AI risk register", "page": "https://cookedindex.com/jobs/meeting-convention-and-event-planners/", "methodology": "https://cookedindex.com/methodology", "notice": "Verdicts are re-examined as evidence accumulates. Re-fetch before relying on this; the page above always carries the current score.", "scored_at": "2026-08-11", "model": "claude-opus-5", "occupation": { "title": "Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners", "soc_code": "13-1121", "category": "Business", "us_employment": 142860, "median_annual_wage": 61160 }, "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 44, "contested": false, "near_boundary": false, "dimensions": { "task_resistance": 8, "embodiment": 11, "liability_shield": 2, "trust_premium": 12, "judgment_accountability": 11 }, "reasoning": { "task_resistance": "An 8 reflects that the RFP-to-BEO paperwork trail, room-block tracking, registration and badge logic, and post-event attendance reconciliation are all templated enough for software to draft, while site inspections, load-in supervision, and real-time reallocation of a floorplan when the fire marshal caps the room at 250 keep it out of the automatable band.", "embodiment": "An 11 comes from the fact that you are physically present for site walks, load-in and strike, and 14-hour show days moving pipe-and-drape and chasing the AV tech — but the venue is climate-controlled and pre-inspected, not a roof or a trench, so it does not reach the uncontrolled-environment tier.", "liability_shield": "A 2 is accurate because CMP and CMM are voluntary industry credentials no client, hotel, or state requires to sign a contract — the venue's liquor licence, the caterer's food handler permit, and the client's insurance carry the actual legal exposure, not you.", "trust_premium": "A 12 sits at the top of the relational-but-substitutable band: repeat corporate and association clients rebook the planner who knows their board's seating politics and which VP will not fly coach, but procurement departments still put the account out to RFP and switch agencies on price.", "judgment_accountability": "An 11 reflects genuine discretion — cutting F&B when registration comes in 30% light, deciding to move an outdoor reception indoors at 2pm, choosing which contract attrition clause to fight — but the budget ceiling, the signed venue contract, and the client's approval sit above every one of those calls." }, "rationale": "Roughly half the job is screen work AI already does well — drafting RFPs, comparing venue bids, building budgets and run-of-show timelines, managing registration lists, writing attendee comms and post-event reports. What doesn't automate is event day: walking the room, catching that the AV feed is dead and the keynote lands in 12 minutes, renegotiating with a caterer whose truck is stuck, and being the person the client blames or thanks. No license protects the role, so the shrinkage happens in the coordinator tier while senior planners who own on-site command survive.", "outlook": "By 2035 the logistics-coordinator layer is largely absorbed by AI plus registration platforms, while a smaller cohort of on-site producers and senior client-facing planners handles more events each at higher pay.", "what_would_raise_it": { "levers": [ { "dimension": "task_resistance", "change": "Task-mix shift is genuinely two-tier here: if RFP drafting, bid comparison, budget builds and registration ops are absorbed by tools (Cvent/Bizzabo AI features already ship this), the surviving role is site-selection judgment, contract risk negotiation, and live crisis command — work current models cannot do at usable quality. Watch for coordinator postings collapsing while 'event operations lead' postings grow.", "plausibility": "already happening", "would_add": 4 }, { "dimension": "embodiment", "change": "If venue and insurer requirements push more of the job onto documented physical duty — e.g. crowd-safety walkthroughs under Event Safety Alliance guidance, or a named on-site safety officer required by municipal permits for large gatherings (as post-Astroworld ordinances in some cities do) — the on-floor share of the day rises.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 3 }, { "dimension": "liability_shield", "change": "No license exists and none is proposed. The nearest real route is contractual, not statutory: event cancellation and general liability insurers requiring a named, credentialed planner (CMP or CSEP) as a condition of binding coverage for events above a headcount threshold, or venue master agreements naming an individual responsible for the emergency action plan. That is a soft shield, not personal statutory liability.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 3 }, { "dimension": "trust_premium", "change": "Narrow route: high-stakes categories where the client is buying a person's relationships and blame-absorption — incentive travel, board retreats, political conventions, medical congresses under Sunshine Act/EFPIA transfer-of-value reporting where a human must attest spend allocations. If those segments grow as a share of the profession, the premium concentrates there. It does not extend to corporate all-hands or trade-show logistics.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 2 }, { "dimension": "judgment_accountability", "change": "If planners are formally named in contracts as the decision authority for weather/force-majeure cancellation calls and crowd-density stop-show decisions — a clause pattern spreading in venue and promoter agreements since 2022 — the role owns consequential ambiguous calls with attributable names attached.", "plausibility": "plausible", "would_add": 4 } ], "ceiling_note": "Ceiling is real: with no license and a buyer base that mostly treats planning as procurement, the top realistic band is mid-50s, and it applies to the senior on-site tier only. The coordinator tier has no lever available to it." }, "adjudication": null, "employment_history": { "points": [ { "y": 2017, "emp": 102420, "wage": 48290 }, { "y": 2018, "emp": 110120, "wage": 49370 }, { "y": 2019, "emp": 117610, "wage": 50600 }, { "y": 2020, "emp": 109800, "wage": 51560 }, { "y": 2021, "emp": 98150, "wage": 49470 }, { "y": 2022, "emp": 112070, "wage": 52560 }, { "y": 2023, "emp": 122130, "wage": 56920 }, { "y": 2024, "emp": 134670, "wage": 59440 }, { "y": 2025, "emp": 142860, "wage": 61160 } ], "from": 2017, "to": 2025, "change_pct": 39.5, "comparable_from": 2019, "spans_soc_revision": true }, "pivots": [ { "slug": "producers-and-directors", "title": "Producers and Directors", "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 55, "median_wage": 90360, "overlap": 72, "skills_to_close": [ "Learning Strategies" ] }, { "slug": "real-estate-brokers", "title": "Real Estate Brokers", "verdict": "EXPOSED", "risk_resistance": 62, "median_wage": 73220, "overlap": 52, "skills_to_close": [] } ], "license": "https://cookedindex.com/terms" }