{
  "source": "Cooked Index — occupational AI risk register",
  "page": "https://cookedindex.com/jobs/parking-attendants/",
  "methodology": "https://cookedindex.com/methodology",
  "notice": "Verdicts are re-examined as evidence accumulates. Re-fetch before relying on this; the page above always carries the current score.",
  "scored_at": "2026-08-11",
  "model": "claude-opus-5",
  "occupation": {
    "title": "Parking Attendants",
    "soc_code": "53-6021",
    "category": "Transportation",
    "us_employment": 137880,
    "median_annual_wage": 35150
  },
  "verdict": "COOKED",
  "risk_resistance": 32,
  "contested": true,
  "near_boundary": true,
  "dimensions": {
    "task_resistance": 9,
    "embodiment": 14,
    "liability_shield": 1,
    "trust_premium": 5,
    "judgment_accountability": 3
  },
  "reasoning": {
    "task_resistance": "At 9 the score splits the job in two: fee collection, ticket validation, occupancy counts and space-directing are already gone wherever a garage has installed LPR and a pay-on-foot kiosk, but valet parking — reversing a stranger's manual-transmission truck down a 12% ramp into a stacked stall, then retrieving it in four minutes — has no deployed substitute, which is why this isn't a 4.",
    "embodiment": "14 reflects that the surviving work is entirely outdoors or in unventilated decks: standing shifts in rain and January cold, walking rows to chalk tires or check permits, and driving unfamiliar vehicles with unfamiliar clutch feel and blind spots through structures never designed for a car you didn't practice in.",
    "liability_shield": "1 is near-floor because a driver's license is the only credential and it isn't parking-specific — damage claims land on the garage operator's garage-keeper's liability policy, not on you, and no statute requires an attendant's signature on anything.",
    "trust_premium": "5 is honest about the regulars: the downtown monthly parker who hands you keys by name and tips at Christmas is real, but the airport lot or stadium event shift is pure throughput where the customer never learns your name and would not notice a different attendant tomorrow.",
    "judgment_accountability": "3 matches a duty set governed by posted rate boards and operator procedure — validate or don't, tow or call the manager, refuse the oversized vehicle — with the genuinely ambiguous calls (accepting a car with existing damage, disputing a lost-ticket charge) escalated to a supervisor."
  },
  "rationale": "The modal parking attendant collects fees, issues and validates tickets, monitors lot occupancy and directs drivers to open spaces — and every one of those tasks is already handled at scale by pay-on-foot kiosks, license-plate recognition, gateless app-based parking, and occupancy sensors. What survives is the physical tier: valet drivers who actually move customer vehicles through tight garages, handle keys, and deal with the guest who blocked the ramp or scraped a bumper. There is no license, no signature requirement, and almost no ambiguous decision-making to anchor the role, so the shrinkage comes from parking-tech capex rather than from language models.",
  "outlook": "Headcount keeps eroding through the 2030s as gateless plate-reading garages become standard, leaving a smaller workforce concentrated in valet, event, and hospital parking where a human physically moves the car.",
  "what_would_raise_it": {
    "levers": [
      {
        "dimension": "embodiment",
        "change": "Task-mix collapse into valet-only work: if fee collection and enforcement fully migrate to LPR/app systems (already standard in Chicago, LA, and most airport garages), the residual headcount is drivers moving customer cars in tight legacy garages with manual keys, curbside handoffs, EV charging cable management, and damage walk-arounds — physical work that autonomous valet parking (Mercedes/Bosch INTELLIGENT PARK PILOT, certified only in a single Stuttgart garage) cannot do in mixed unmapped facilities",
        "plausibility": "already happening",
        "would_add": 4
      },
      {
        "dimension": "trust_premium",
        "change": "Hotel and hospital valet as a paid amenity line item: if brand standards (Marriott/Hyatt luxury tiers, hospital patient-experience scoring tied to CMS HCAHPS-style surveys) continue to specify a live attendant at the door for arrival greeting and mobility assistance, the human is what the fee buys rather than the car movement",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 3
      },
      {
        "dimension": "liability_shield",
        "change": "Garage-keeper liability and bonding: some municipal valet ordinances (e.g. Los Angeles valet permit rules, Miami Beach valet licensing) require a permitted operator, insurance certificate, and named attendants; if cities tighten these into individual attendant permits with named responsibility for vehicle custody, a thin personal-accountability layer attaches to key handling",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 3
      },
      {
        "dimension": "judgment_accountability",
        "change": "Damage and incident calls: if operator insurers require an on-site human to document pre-existing damage, decide whether a vehicle is safe to move (low clearance, modified suspension, dead EV), and manage ramp blockages during evacuation, the surviving role owns small consequential calls under ambiguity",
        "plausibility": "plausible",
        "would_add": 2
      }
    ],
    "ceiling_note": "Even with every lever, this stays low — the ceiling is a much smaller valet-only occupation, not a protected one. Headcount loss is driven by kiosk and LPR capex already deployed, and nothing here reverses that; the levers change what the remaining jobs look like, not how many there are."
  },
  "adjudication": {
    "method": "two independent runs disagreed; merge is rounding-dependent",
    "outcome": "unresolved — published score left unchanged",
    "run_totals": [
      32,
      35
    ],
    "run_verdicts": [
      "COOKED",
      "EXPOSED"
    ]
  },
  "employment_history": {
    "points": [
      {
        "y": 2019,
        "emp": 147390,
        "wage": 25140
      },
      {
        "y": 2020,
        "emp": 123790,
        "wage": 27080
      },
      {
        "y": 2021,
        "emp": 91160,
        "wage": 29240
      },
      {
        "y": 2022,
        "emp": 105290,
        "wage": 30570
      },
      {
        "y": 2023,
        "emp": 118130,
        "wage": 32840
      },
      {
        "y": 2024,
        "emp": 134650,
        "wage": 34600
      },
      {
        "y": 2025,
        "emp": 137880,
        "wage": 35150
      }
    ],
    "from": 2019,
    "to": 2025,
    "change_pct": -6.5,
    "comparable_from": 2019,
    "spans_soc_revision": false
  },
  "pivots": [
    {
      "slug": "orderlies",
      "title": "Orderlies",
      "verdict": "EXPOSED",
      "risk_resistance": 56,
      "median_wage": 38290,
      "overlap": 80,
      "skills_to_close": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "postal-service-mail-carriers",
      "title": "Postal Service Mail Carriers",
      "verdict": "EXPOSED",
      "risk_resistance": 49,
      "median_wage": 60550,
      "overlap": 79,
      "skills_to_close": [
        "Operations Analysis",
        "Time Management"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "passenger-attendants",
      "title": "Passenger Attendants",
      "verdict": "EXPOSED",
      "risk_resistance": 47,
      "median_wage": 37720,
      "overlap": 78,
      "skills_to_close": [
        "Persuasion",
        "Social Perceptiveness",
        "Quality Control Analysis",
        "Active Listening"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "license": "https://cookedindex.com/terms"
}