← Risk register SOC 45-2099 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Agricultural Workers, All Other

3,620 US workers · median $39,850/yr · Agriculture

EXPOSED

This is a catch-all bucket — irrigation setup, hand-weeding, sorting and grading produce, animal handling, equipment tending, seasonal field labor — and almost none of it is text or screen work, so language models barely touch it. The real exposure is mechanical: autonomous tractors, GPS-guided sprayers, robotic weeders and optical sorters are commercially deployed right now, and they target exactly the repetitive field and packhouse tasks that define the modal worker here. There is no license, no signature requirement, and no customer paying for a relationship, so nothing slows substitution except capital cost and crop geometry.

10-year outlook: Headcount in the repetitive field and packhouse tasks keeps shrinking as ag robotics scales, while the workers who run and fix the machines, handle livestock, and lead crews stay in demand and get paid better.

Score — 46/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 15 + 18 + 2 + 4 + 7 = 46.

Task resistance 15/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Setting irrigation lines across uneven ground, hand-pulling weeds between close-spaced rows, catching and restraining animals, and clearing jammed equipment are all judged by touch and eye in the moment — a 15 rather than 18 because the packhouse sorting and grading portion of this bucket is already being done by optical graders on commercial lines.

Embodiment 18/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. The work is outdoors in mud, heat, dust and livestock pens, on terrain no rail or gantry can be built over, with tasks that require bending into a crop canopy and gripping wet or living material — the 18 rather than 20 reflects the share of this SOC working inside sheds, greenhouses and packing rooms where conditions are at least partly controlled.

Liability shield 2/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licence, no certification exam, and no signature on any document — the 2 rather than 0 acknowledges pesticide-handler cards and worker protection standard training that some of these jobs require before a worker can be sent into a treated field.

Trust premium 4/20

Anonymous artifact production. Produce leaves the field anonymous and graded by specification, not by who picked it; the 4 reflects that the person who returns each season and knows one farm's fields, gates and quirks is genuinely harder to replace than a first-day hire, but the buyer never learns their name.

Judgment & accountability 7/20

Meaningful discretion. Calls like when a plant is ready to cut, whether an animal is off-feed, or when a hose fitting is about to fail are real and made unsupervised — but they sit at 7 because the decisions are within a day's crop or one animal, and the crew leader or grower owns anything with money or safety attached.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.