← Risk register SOC 19-4021 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Biological Technicians

69,620 US workers · median $57,510/yr · Science

EXPOSED

The modal biological technician runs defined protocols at a bench — sample prep, pipetting, cell culture, PCR, running instruments, logging results — plus a meaningful share of screen work (data tabulation, QC checks, drafting run summaries) that AI already handles. The hands-on portion is real protection, but it happens in a controlled lab, which is exactly where liquid handlers, automated colony pickers, and integrated plate-reader pipelines are already displacing manual steps. There's no license, no signature requirement, and little client relationship, so nothing outside the tasks themselves shields the role.

10-year outlook: Headcount per lab keeps falling as benchtop automation absorbs repetitive prep and analysis, with the surviving roles concentrated in instrument stewardship, live-system handling, and regulated QC.

US employment, 2019–2025-12.5%
79,53069,620 workers

Most of this decline happened after 2021 — it is not the pandemic dip.

Median pay $45,860 → $57,510 +0.3% in real terms (nominal +25.4%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+3.5%

Percentage only. The projection counts a different population from the 69,620 above — it includes self-employed workers, which for this occupation is most of them, so the two headcounts are not comparable.

Exposed, but growing

AI can already do a lot of these tasks, and the BLS still expects +3.5% more of these jobs by 2034. Demand for the output is growing faster than the work is being automated away — the mechanism BLS gives for software developers, and the combination people most often misread as an error.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~9,100 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 24 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

Seed AnalystBiotechnicianBabcock TesterBiologist AideBiological AideBiotechnologistGame TechnicianHerbarium WorkerFowl Blood TesterLaboratory WorkerDairy TechnologistFeed Research AideFiber TechnologistResearch AssistantResearch AssociateAquatics TechnicianPoultry InseminatorResearch SpecialistResearch TechnicianSpecimen TechnicianWildlife TechnicianBioprocess AssociateLaboratory AssistantBiological Technician

Score — 35/100 resistance

Holding it up: embodiment (12/20). Weakest point: liability shield (3/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 10 + 12 + 3 + 4 + 6 = 35. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 10/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier Plating cells, maintaining cultures, feeding animals, calibrating a microscope and troubleshooting a clogged HPLC line still require hands at the bench, but the other half of the day — Excel tabulation, plate-reader output cleanup, ELISA curve fitting, drafting the section of the methods writeup the PI edits — is already being done by software, which is what pins this at 10 rather than the 15+ of a field ecologist.

Embodiment 12/20

Some physical or field component The work is physical but the environment is engineered to be predictable — a BSC hood, a fixed 96-well footprint, an incubator at 37°C — which is precisely the geometry Hamilton and Opentrons liquid handlers were built for; the 12 reflects the genuinely awkward residue (dissecting tissue, coaxing a temperamental centrifuge, animal handling), not the routine pipetting.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement Nothing you produce carries your name in a legally meaningful way: the PI signs the grant report, the study director signs the GLP protocol, the CLIA lab director signs out clinical results, and your role in the audit trail is an initial in a notebook margin that the 3 accounts for.

Trust premium 4/20

Anonymous artifact production Your outputs move to a PI, a study director or a QC reviewer who cares about the CV of the triplicates, not who ran them; the 4 rather than 0 is the institutional knowledge of which freezer holds which lot and which incubator drifts — real, but it transfers with a two-week handover.

Judgment & accountability 6/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs You work from SOPs, IACUC-approved protocols and validated assay procedures where deviation requires a supervisor's sign-off, so the discretion is narrow — deciding a plate is contaminated and rerunning it, or flagging that a standard curve failed acceptance criteria — which is a 6, not the 10+ of someone choosing the experimental design.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: embodiment

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Coursera — negotiation courses, audit free free to audit · MIT OpenCourseWare — operations management free · Coursera — decision making under uncertainty free to audit · Coursera — negotiation, influence and persuasion courses free to audit

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — occupations you could move toward

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill and knowledge profiles: high overlap with what you already do, a materially higher resistance score, no large jump in required training, and no licence you would have to start a new pipeline to get. Targets that pay meaningfully less, that are themselves COOKED, or whose own headcount is falling are excluded — a move into a shrinking trade is not an escape.

Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists EXPOSED · 49/100 · you already have ~66% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Negotiation, Operations Analysis, Judgment and Decision Making, Persuasion

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 51/100, still EXPOSED.

4 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening task resistance +4

    Task-mix shift as liquid handlers absorb pipetting and plate prep: the residual role becomes method troubleshooting, non-standard sample handling (primary tissue, difficult organisms, contamination forensics), instrument qualification and assay validation. Occupations in GLP/GMP labs already show this — technicians who own deviation investigation and out-of-specification (OOS) root-cause work under 21 CFR 211.192 retain a genuinely hard tier.

  • already happening judgment accountability +4

    Formal ownership of data-integrity calls: FDA ALCOA+ and Part 11 enforcement, plus EU Annex 11, push toward a named human accountable for whether a run is valid, whether an outlier is excluded, and whether a deviation is reported. A warning-letter pattern penalizing labs that let software auto-adjudicate OOS results would convert routine logging into a signed judgment.

  • plausible liability shield +5

    Named-analyst accountability regimes: CLIA high-complexity testing personnel requirements (42 CFR 493.1489) already require qualified individuals to perform and document tests, and forensic labs under ISO/IEC 17025 plus post-2009 NAS reform require a named analyst attestable and cross-examinable in court. If clinical/forensic labs are barred from letting automated pipelines produce unattested results — e.g. a CAP checklist item requiring a qualified human to attest to any AI-assisted result review — the shield moves from near-zero to real for that segment.

  • plausible embodiment +3

    Growth in work that resists caging: field/environmental sampling, necropsy and animal facility handling under USDA/AWA oversight, BSL-3 containment work where robot decontamination and validation costs exceed human labor, and primary-tissue dissection. If technician headcount concentrates in these settings rather than plate-based screening, measured embodiment rises even with no change to any individual job.

The limit. Trust premium has no plausible route — the buyer of a PCR result is an internal PI or a sponsor who wants the number, not a human's hand on it, and no purchasing pattern anywhere pays extra for manual bench work. Also note the liability and judgment levers only reach the clinical/forensic/GMP-regulated slice of this SOC; academic and R&D technicians, likely the majority, sit outside every one of these regimes and stay unshielded.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 169 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 7,320 $61,610 +7%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 3,270 $62,780 +9%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 2,690 $95,220 +66%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 2,020 $63,770 +11%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 1,950 $60,630 +5%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 1,830 $66,610 +16%
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 1,770 $67,060 +17%
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX 1,660 $50,140 -13%

Best paid

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 2,690 $95,220 +66%
Trenton-Princeton, NJ 180 $77,170 +34%
Tyler, TX 50 $77,020 +34%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $57,510. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this — nobody, on the record

We have no reported case of a named organisation automating this occupation. Not one deployment, not one announcement.

That is worth saying out loud next to a score of 35. The verdict above is about what the work exposes — what current AI could do to these tasks. It is not a claim that anyone has done it. For this occupation those two things have come apart completely: the capability argument is on this page, and the evidence column is empty.

Read that as a gap in the reporting we can see, not proof of absence — the dispatch runs on English-language feeds and misses plenty. If you know of a case, tell us, or add a field report from inside the job.

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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Kept current

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