← Risk register SOC 25-1194 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary

114,110 US workers · median $63,820/yr · Education

EXPOSED

The modal CTE instructor teaches welding, automotive, HVAC, culinary, nursing-assistant, or cosmetology programs at a community or technical college, and most of the job is standing in a shop or lab watching students' hands and correcting technique in real time — that does not digitize. What AI eats is the paperwork layer: syllabi, lecture slides, quiz banks, competency checklists, accreditation and program-review documentation, and grading of written work. Licensure protects the trades being taught more than the teacher; industry credentials and state program approval matter, but a signed stamp is rarely required to instruct.

10-year outlook: Enrollment in hands-on trade programs is holding or growing while the lecture-and-paperwork half of the job compresses, so expect fewer classroom hours, more lab hours, and instructors judged on placement rates and pass rates.

Score — 64/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 14 + 16 + 7 + 15 + 12 = 64.

Task resistance 14/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Watching a student lay a fillet weld and calling out travel speed and arc length before the puddle goes cold, or catching a phlebotomy student's bevel angle mid-stick, is the graded event itself — AI can write the rubric but cannot stand at the booth, which is why this sits at 14 rather than mid-band, held below 17 only because the lecture, syllabus, quiz-bank, and OSHA/theory modules that front-load most CTE courses are already being delivered by LMS content and generated slide decks.

Embodiment 16/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are on a shop floor with live 480V panels, refrigerant, deep fryers, chop saws, and cadaver-free but blood-borne-pathogen-exposed clinical labs, doing tool maintenance and shop safety walkthroughs alongside 18 students who have never held the equipment — 16 not 20 because the environment is a controlled institutional lab with lockouts and posted procedures, not a customer's crawlspace or a live jobsite.

Liability shield 7/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. At 7 the credential is real but points outward: your welding CWI, ASE master tech, RN, or state cosmetology instructor licence is the hiring gate and in nursing-assistant and cosmetology programs the state board actually names an approved instructor of record, yet in most trade areas an employer accepts industry experience plus program approval, and negligence in the lab lands on the college's insurer rather than your personal licence.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. Students enroll because a working tradesperson vouches for them to the employers who hire out of your program — the internship placement, the apprenticeship referral, the phone call to the shop foreman you worked with for twelve years — and that reputational pipeline is not transferable, sitting at 15 rather than 18 because completion certificates and third-party credentials (NCCER, ASE, ServSafe) carry weight independent of who taught you.

Judgment & accountability 12/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide whether a student is safe to operate the equipment unsupervised and whether to sign off competency on a clinical or shop skill that goes into a state licensure file — real consequence — but 12 rather than 15 because those calls run against written competency checklists, accreditation-mandated hour counts, and program standards someone else wrote, so the ambiguity is in the marginal student rather than in the standard.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, trust, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers SAFE · 80/100 · you already have ~60% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Personnel Resources, Operations Monitoring, Service Orientation, Coordination

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.