← Risk register SOC 35-2012 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

441,050 US workers · median $37,450/yr · Food

EXPOSED

Cooking 400 lunches on a line — knife work, batch cooking, holding temps, plating, cleaning hot equipment — is physical work in a chaotic environment that language models cannot touch and current kitchen robotics handles only in narrow, high-volume niches (fryers, rice, bowl assembly). The real exposure isn't a robot cook; it's software and supply chain: AI-generated cycle menus, automated nutrition and allergen compliance, forecast-driven ordering, and the ongoing shift of school, hospital, and prison food toward centralized commissaries and pre-portioned heat-and-serve, which cuts scratch-cooking headcount per site. Food handler cards are cheap and near-universal, so the licensing moat is thin.

10-year outlook: The job persists physically but shrinks per facility over the next decade as pre-portioned commissary food and AI-run menu, ordering, and compliance systems absorb the planning work — the cooks who stay are the certified leads running the line, the special-diet stations, and the scratch kitchens.

Score — 50/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 14 + 18 + 5 + 6 + 7 = 50.

Task resistance 14/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Breaking down cases of chicken, running a steam table through a 40-minute lunch rush, adjusting a batch that's too thin, and scrubbing a tilt skillet are tasks no software touches — the 14 rather than 18 reflects that the recipe scaling, cycle-menu writing, production sheets, and par ordering that fill your prep morning are already being generated by Nutrislice-type systems and district dietitians.

Embodiment 18/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are on your feet six to eight hours in 90-degree kitchen heat, lifting 50-pound stock pots and sheet pans, working around slicers, convection ovens, and 350-degree fryer oil in a space where the floor is wet and three other people are moving through it — an 18 not a 20 only because it's a fixed kitchen rather than an outdoor or unpredictable site.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. A ServSafe food handler card or a county health card is typically a few hours of online training and a $15 test, and when an inspector writes up a violation or a norovirus outbreak is traced to the kitchen, the citation lands on the facility's permit and the certified food protection manager — not on your personal license.

Trust premium 6/20

Some relationship component. Students, patients, and residents know the cook who remembers that Room 214 gets no salt and who will find them something when the entree is fish again, but nobody chooses the cafeteria — they eat there because it's the only option, so the relationship never becomes the reason the job exists.

Judgment & accountability 7/20

Meaningful discretion. You make real calls on the fly — substituting when the delivery is short, deciding a holding pan that's been at 128°F gets dumped, catching that a tray headed to a peanut-allergy student has the wrong cookie — but menus, portion sizes, HACCP critical limits, and USDA meal-pattern requirements are handed to you as written procedure, which caps this at 7.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Cooks, Private Household SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~68% of the skill profile

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.