← Risk register SOC 21-1012 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors

353,310 US workers · median $64,330/yr · Social Service

EXPOSED

The informational half of this job — degree-audit checks, transcript and credit-transfer review, course scheduling, scholarship and job-lead lookup, resume critiques, generic 'what careers match my interests' guidance — is exactly what chatbots and degree-planning software now do at scale, and community colleges and universities are already routing that volume to self-service. What survives is the in-person, high-stakes half: sitting with a 16-year-old disclosing abuse, running suicide risk screens and mandated reporting, IEP and 504 meetings with parents and special-ed staff, and persuading a wavering first-generation student not to drop out. Public-school counselors hold state certification, which keeps a credentialed human in the building; academic advisors at colleges hold no license and are the more exposed tier of this title.

10-year outlook: Headcount thins on the pure academic-advising side as self-service degree planning and AI chat absorb routine questions, while certified school counselors handling mental health, crisis, and special-education casework hold steady or grow.

Score — 58/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 9 + 10 + 15 + 13 = 58.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Half your calendar — degree audits, prerequisite checks, transfer-credit equivalencies, FAFSA walkthroughs, interest-inventory debriefs, resume line edits — is already handled by Slate, Navigate, and a chatbot at scale, while the other half (a Section 504 meeting where the parent is threatening to sue, a suicide-risk screen at 2pm on a Friday, talking a student out of withdrawing) needs a person in the room reading affect, which is why this lands at 11 and not 5.

Embodiment 9/20

Some physical or field component. You are physically stationed in a building — classroom guidance lessons, hallway and cafeteria crisis response, walking a student to the nurse or the SRO, sitting at the IEP table — but nothing in the job requires manipulating equipment or working outdoors, so it scores 9 rather than the 15 of a home-visiting caseworker.

Liability shield 10/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. This title is two tiers stapled together: K-12 counselors hold a state school-counselor certificate, are mandated reporters under state child-abuse statutes, and can lose that credential for a failed disclosure, while college academic advisors typically need only a bachelor's degree and no license at all — the 10 is the average of a real credential and none.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. The student who tells you they're being hit at home, or the first-gen senior who shows up in April because you were the one who remembered their name in September, is not transferable to a portal or to your colleague — the four-year caseload relationship is the intervention, which is why this sits at 15.

Judgment & accountability 13/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide alone whether a vague statement clears the threshold for a CPS report, whether a student is safe to go home, whether to override a teacher's placement recommendation, and whether to write the recommendation letter that decides an admission — real ownership of ambiguous calls, held at 13 rather than 17 because a principal, school psychologist, or IEP team signs off on the most consequential ones.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: trust, licensure, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Marriage and Family Therapists SAFE · 74/100 · you already have ~86% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Science, Active Listening

Special Education Teachers, Preschool SAFE · 82/100 · you already have ~81% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Science

Special Education Teachers, All Other SAFE · 74/100 · you already have ~79% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Troubleshooting, Operations Analysis, Operations Monitoring, Instructing

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.