← Risk register SOC 47-1011 · reviewed 2026-08-11

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

812,210 US workers · median $79,920/yr · Construction

SAFE

Construction foremen spend their days on active job sites — walking the work, sequencing crews against weather and late material deliveries, catching a bad pour or an unsafe scaffold before it becomes a claim. AI can absorb the paperwork tail (daily reports, schedule updates, RFI drafts, quantity takeoffs, timesheet reconciliation), but nobody is automating the call to stop work, retrain a green apprentice, or renegotiate the sequence when the crane shows up a day early. Licensure varies by trade and state, though OSHA competent-person designation and the personal accountability for crew safety function as a real shield.

10-year outlook: Site supervision stays a human job through the 2030s; the reporting and scheduling burden shrinks, letting foremen cover more square footage per person and pushing some headcount toward larger spans of control.

Score — 73/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 15 + 18 + 11 + 13 + 16 = 73.

Task resistance 15/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. The automatable share is real but thin — daily reports, look-ahead updates, takeoffs and timesheets — while the bulk of the shift is reading actual conditions (soil that's wetter than the geotech said, a subcontractor stacking trades in the same 10 feet) and redirecting bodies, which is why this lands at 15 rather than the 18 a pure field craftsman would get.

Embodiment 18/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. An 18 reflects that the job is physically inseparable from the site: climbing scaffold to check tie-offs, putting hands on a form before a pour, walking a trench box, standing in the excavation zone during a lift — all in weather, mud and live-equipment traffic, with only the trailer paperwork done sitting down.

Liability shield 11/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. OSHA 29 CFR 1926 competent-person designation puts a named individual personally on the hook for inspecting excavations, scaffolds and fall protection, and citations follow that designation, but the underlying credential is a training card rather than a state license in most trades — so 11, not the 16+ a licensed electrical or plumbing contractor of record carries.

Trust premium 13/20

The human relationship is the product. At 13 the relationship is genuinely part of the output: the crew works safely and fast because they respect this specific foreman, and the GM, inspector and owner's rep take his word on percent-complete and hidden conditions — but he is replaceable to the general contractor in a way a client-facing designer is not.

Judgment & accountability 16/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. A 16 is warranted because the stop-work call, the decision to accept or reject a questionable weld or pour, and the choice to send a crew home on a lightning day are made in minutes with incomplete information and carry injury, fatality and schedule-damages consequences that the supervisor answers for by name.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, liability, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.