← Risk register SOC 25-1125 · reviewed 2026-08-11

History Teachers, Postsecondary

18,790 US workers · median $83,820/yr · Education

EXPOSED

The text-heavy core of this job — lecture notes, syllabi, reading guides, essay feedback, literature summaries, exam question banks — is exactly what current language models produce at usable quality, and students already use the same tools on the other side of the desk. What resists is the live seminar: running a room where undergraduates argue about evidence, teaching source criticism by watching a student misread a document and correcting them in real time, and advising thesis work. The bigger near-term threat is not AI replacing historians but humanities enrollment decline and adjunctification shrinking the tenure-track base; the modal worker here is increasingly contingent faculty teaching survey courses.

10-year outlook: The seminar and thesis-advising tier persists at selective institutions, but survey-course teaching loads consolidate into fewer, larger sections with AI-assisted grading, and total headcount keeps drifting down with humanities enrollment.

Score — 47/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 9 + 8 + 6 + 14 + 10 = 47.

Task resistance 9/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Grading 60 identical Western Civ essays against a rubric, assembling a syllabus from a canonical reading list, and writing multiple-choice exam banks on the Treaty of Westphalia are already machine work, which pins this below the midpoint — but the seminar where you make eighteen-year-olds defend a claim about a primary source, and the dissertation chapter you argue with line by line, are not, which keeps it from falling to 5.

Embodiment 8/20

Some physical or field component. Standing in a lecture hall, handling archival material and rare-book collections in reading rooms, and running site or museum visits are genuine bodily components, but they happen in climate-controlled rooms with no manual dexterity or safety exposure, which caps this near the low end of the mid-band.

Liability shield 6/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. No state licence gates who teaches Reconstruction to undergraduates; the PhD and departmental hiring committee are the only gates, and accreditation obligations attach to the institution and the credit hour, not to you personally, so you carry credential friction without personal legal liability.

Trust premium 14/20

The human relationship is the product. Students choose your section, come to office hours, ask you for the letter of recommendation that decides their grad school application, and stay in your advising orbit for years — that named, cumulative relationship is most of what the tuition buys, and it is why a recorded lecture library has never emptied the room.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide what counts as evidence, whether a paper is plagiarised, what grade closes a student's GPA, and how to teach contested historiography — real discretion with real consequences for individuals, but bounded by department curricula, grade-appeal procedures, and Title IX and FERPA reporting channels rather than owned outright.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: trust, physical-presence, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education SAFE · 69/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Mathematics, Quality Control Analysis, Coordination, Social Perceptiveness

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~84% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Mathematics, Coordination, Social Perceptiveness, Technology Design

Special Education Teachers, Middle School SAFE · 76/100 · you already have ~81% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Service Orientation, Social Perceptiveness, Mathematics

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.