← Risk register SOC 23-1011 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Lawyers

754,500 US workers · median $159,670/yr · Legal

SAFE verdict contested

A large share of a lawyer's billable hours — memo drafting, contract markup, discovery review, precedent research, first-pass due diligence — is exactly what current models do at usable quality, and that leverage is already compressing associate-level work. What holds is the part only a licensed member of the bar can do: sign filings, appear in court, take depositions, negotiate live, and carry malpractice and ethical liability for the advice. The modal lawyer here is not a Big Law partner but a small-firm or in-house generalist whose value sits in client counsel and accountability, not document production.

10-year outlook: Headcount growth flattens as first-year associate and document-review work collapses into software, while licensed lawyers who argue, negotiate, and sign remain in steady demand.

Score — 67/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 10 + 6 + 18 + 16 + 17 = 67.

Task resistance 10/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Document review, research memos, and first drafts of pleadings and contracts — the bulk of hours for anyone under partner — are now machine-assisted, but taking a deposition, examining a hostile witness, reading a judge in a motion hearing, and negotiating a settlement across the table stay stubbornly manual, which is why this lands at 10 rather than 5 or 15.

Embodiment 6/20

Some physical or field component. Courthouse appearances, client site visits, jail interviews, deposition rooms, evidence inspections, and closings put lawyers off the screen on a regular cadence, but the venues are controlled and much litigation practice has already moved to Zoom hearings and e-filing, so this sits at 6 rather than in the trades range.

Liability shield 18/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. Bar admission is jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction, Rule 11 makes the signing attorney personally sanctionable for filings, Model Rules 1.1 and 5.5 mean unauthorized practice is a criminal exposure and bad advice is a malpractice suit against a named individual — 18 not 20 only because in-house and staff roles diffuse some of the personal exposure.

Trust premium 16/20

The human relationship is the product. Attorney-client privilege is a legal structure built entirely around one identified human, and clients pick counsel on referral and past representation rather than price sheet — a 16 rather than 19 because transactional and insurance-defense volume work is genuinely commoditized and clients switch firms on rate.

Judgment & accountability 17/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. Whether to advise a plea, whether a disclosure triggers a duty to a third party, whether to withdraw over a client's intended fraud, how much risk a merger rep carries — these are underdetermined calls with prison, insolvency, or disbarment on the other side, and the lawyer owns them alone.

The verdict on this page is contested. We scored this occupation twice, independently, and the two runs disagreed: 67/100 — SAFE and 65/100 — EXPOSED. Combining them doesn't settle it — the answer changes depending on how the halfway points are rounded, which is a property of our arithmetic and not of the job. Rather than pick the side that suits us, we've left the original verdict in place and flagged it. Read the dimension scores below and the reasoning attached to each; on this page they carry the information, and the one-word label does not.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works · 5 deployment reports on file

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: licensure, liability, trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Who is actually doing this

The score above is about what the work exposes. This is reporting about real deployments in this occupation — the difference between "could be automated" and "somebody automated it."

Mike Morse Law Firm · Morgan & Morgan · McCann FitzGerald · Dentons

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.