← Risk register SOC 45-4029 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Logging Workers, All Other

1,700 US workers · median $50,840/yr · Agriculture

EXPOSED

This is chainsaw, cable, and log-deck work on uneven forest ground in weather — bucking, limbing, choker setting, rigging, running skidders and loaders, judging lean and hang-ups on the fly. Almost none of that is text or screen work, and field robotics cannot yet walk a steep unimproved slope and read a leaning tree. The real threat is mechanization — feller-bunchers, processor heads, and remote-controlled yarders that let three people do what eight used to — plus timber-market cycles, not language models; and there is no license or client relationship to slow that substitution down.

10-year outlook: Headcount keeps drifting down through 2035 as mechanized harvesting consolidates crews, but the work that remains — steep-ground, hazard-tree, and field-repair — stays firmly in human hands.

Score — 56/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 18 + 19 + 4 + 5 + 10 = 56.

Task resistance 18/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Setting chokers on a turn of logs behind a stump, wedging a barber-chair-prone snag, and clearing a hang-up on a steep pitch are decided by what the ground and the fiber are doing that minute — an 18 rather than a 14 because even the recordkeeping side of the job (scale slips, load tickets) is a few minutes a shift, not the substance of it.

Embodiment 19/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Nineteen because the work is performed on unimproved slope with a running saw or live cable in rain, mud, and cold, and there is no version of it done from a cab or a console — the only points off are the days spent on a landing or deck where the footing is at least graded.

Liability shield 4/20

No licence, no signature requirement. There is no state license to cut timber; what you carry is a first-aid/CPR card and OSHA 1910.266 logging-standard training the employer is required to provide, and the citation for an unsafe felling area goes to the company, not to your name.

Trust premium 5/20

Anonymous artifact production. You are paid by the load, the thousand board feet, or the hour, and the landowner or mill contracts with the outfit — a 5 rather than 0 only because small-tract owners and gyppo crews do rehire the faller they know won't leave a mess or hit the fence line.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion. You call lean, escape route, notch depth, and whether a leaner comes down now or gets pulled — real calls with your own life in them, but they sit at 10 because the harvest plan, unit boundaries, and cutting prescription are handed to you by a forester or the state marking rules.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.