← Risk register SOC 15-2021 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Mathematicians

2,030 US workers · median $126,710/yr · Tech

COOKED

Almost everything a mathematician does — deriving proofs, building and validating models, running symbolic and numerical analysis, writing up results — is symbol manipulation on a screen, which is precisely where frontier models have improved fastest (olympiad-level proof, formal verification via Lean, automated model fitting). There is no license, no stamp, no physical component, and the buyer is usually an institution paying for results rather than a person paying for a relationship. What survives is at the top of the field: choosing which problems matter, formulating fuzzy real-world questions as tractable mathematics, and vouching for whether a machine-generated proof or model is actually correct and applicable.

10-year outlook: Headcount in this small occupation stays flat or shrinks as AI absorbs derivation and analysis work, and the remaining jobs concentrate in problem formulation, verification, and security-cleared or regulated modeling roles.

Score — 30/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 8 + 2 + 1 + 7 + 12 = 30.

Task resistance 8/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Proof search, symbolic manipulation, numerical simulation, statistical model fitting and LaTeX write-up are all now partly machine-executable — Lean-verified lemma chains and automated fitting cover a real share of the working day — but the step of turning a defense contractor's or actuarial client's vague question into a well-posed theorem or model specification still has no reliable automated equivalent, which is what keeps this at 8 rather than in the 0-6 band.

Embodiment 2/20

Fully desk- and screen-based. The entire job runs on a laptop, a compute cluster, and a whiteboard; the only physical requirements are showing up to a seminar or conference room, which is why this sits at 2 and not 0.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. There is no mathematics license, no PE-style stamp, no board that can strike you off — an incorrect proof or a flawed model gets you a retraction or a lost contract, not a personal cause of action, so the 1 reflects reputational exposure only.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component. Grant panels, cryptographic reviewers and internal clients do care whose name is on a proof — a Fields-adjacent reputation buys benefit of the doubt on a 200-page argument — but the deliverable is still the theorem or the model, which is checkable independently of who produced it, putting this at 7 rather than in physician-or-therapist territory.

Judgment & accountability 12/20

Meaningful discretion. Choosing the abstraction, deciding which assumptions to relax, and judging whether a machine-generated proof step is actually sound or a plausible-looking hallucination are genuinely unbounded calls with consequences that show up years later in cryptographic standards or risk models — that is real discretion, but you are typically one contributor inside a peer-review or team structure rather than the single signatory, which caps it at 12.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Mathematical Science Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 48/100 · you already have ~82% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Instructing, Service Orientation, Monitoring, Speaking

Physicists EXPOSED · 46/100 · you already have ~69% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Technology Design, Quality Control Analysis, Science, Management of Personnel Resources

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.