← Risk register SOC 41-9012 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Models

3,780 US workers · median $48,470/yr · Sales

COOKED

The modal model's deliverable is a still image for catalog, e-commerce, or advertising — and that image is exactly what generative models now produce at usable commercial quality, without call sheets, day rates, or travel. What survives is physical: live runway and trunk shows, fit modeling on real garments during sampling, in-person brand activations, and the small tier of named talent whose recognizable identity is the product being licensed. No license, no sign-off requirement, and almost no decision authority means there is no regulatory or accountability moat to slow substitution.

10-year outlook: Within ten years most catalog and e-commerce modeling work is generated rather than shot, and paid bookings concentrate into live events, fit work, and a smaller set of licensable named faces.

Score — 31/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 7 + 13 + 1 + 7 + 3 = 31.

Task resistance 7/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Holding a pose under strobes for an e-commerce still is now the single most reproducible thing a diffusion model does, and the reason this sits at 7 rather than 3 is the residual work that can't be rendered — walking a 20-look show on a live runway, standing for a fitter pinning a sample at a size-8 block, and appearing at a store opening where the crowd is the point.

Embodiment 13/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Fit modeling means your actual measurements are the tool and you spend hours on a fitting stand in an unheated sample room; runway and location shoots put you outdoors, on cobblestones in unbroken shoes, changing backstage on a schedule you don't set — that's real physical exposure, but it stops short of 17+ because nobody is asking you to carry loads or operate equipment.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. There is no state license, no board, no continuing-education requirement to call yourself a model; agency representation is a contract, not a credential, and the brand's legal exposure for the campaign sits with the client and photographer, not with you.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component. A 7 reflects the real but narrow relationship layer — a booker who knows your fit history, a designer who rebooks you every season, a photographer who works fast with you — while acknowledging that catalog clients hire off a digital and would not notice a substitution, unlike the top tier where the name on the contract is the licensed asset.

Judgment & accountability 3/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. The call sheet, stylist, art director, and photographer decide the look, the pose, and the frame; your discretion is micro-adjustment within someone else's direction, and no consequential decision rests on your read of an ambiguous situation.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Manicurists and Pedicurists SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~84% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Service Orientation, Learning Strategies, Systems Evaluation, Active Learning

Orderlies EXPOSED · 56/100 · you already have ~80% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Service Orientation, Learning Strategies, Operations Monitoring, Troubleshooting

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners EXPOSED · 52/100 · you already have ~79% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Monitoring, Troubleshooting, Equipment Maintenance, Equipment Selection

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.