← Risk register SOC 29-1217 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Neurologists

10,590 US workers · median $248,560/yr · Healthcare

SAFE

Neurology's diagnostic core rests on the hands-on neurological exam — reflexes, gait, tone, cranial nerves, subtle asymmetries — which no current system can perform, plus procedures like EMG/nerve conduction, lumbar puncture, botulinum injections, and EEG supervision. AI is genuinely strong on the pattern layer: MRI lesion detection, EEG spike flagging, differential generation, and note drafting, so documentation and first-pass image reads will compress. What persists is owning ambiguous calls — is this MS or an atypical mimic, do we thrombolyse, do we escalate immunotherapy in a deteriorating encephalitis patient — under personal license and liability, and delivering diagnoses like ALS or dementia to families over years of care.

10-year outlook: By 2035 AI handles most neurology documentation and first-pass imaging/EEG screening, letting neurologists see more patients — the exam, procedures, and acute decision-making stay firmly human, and the persistent US shortage keeps demand well above supply.

Score — 80/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 12 + 14 + 19 + 17 + 18 = 80.

Task resistance 12/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. A 12 reflects that a real share of the neurologist's day — dictating H&Ps, generating differentials from a symptom list, first-pass reads of MRI for white-matter lesions, screening 24-hour EEG for spikes, titrating antiepileptics by protocol — is already being absorbed by ambient scribes and FDA-cleared triage software, while localizing a lesion from an inconsistent exam or distinguishing psychogenic nonepileptic seizures from frontal-lobe events at the bedside stays out of reach.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. A 14 rather than 18 recognizes that the hands are essential but the environment is mostly controlled: percussing reflexes, testing tone and pronator drift, needle EMG through muscle, LP into the L3-L4 space, EMG-guided botulinum into cervical dystonia — all in clinic or on the ward, not roadside or in a patient's kitchen, and a meaningful fraction of stroke-call decisions now happen over telestroke video.

Liability shield 19/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. A 19 is set by the fact that tPA and thrombectomy decisions, DEA-scheduled prescribing of antiepileptics and stimulants, and EMG interpretation are signed under an individual state medical license backed by board certification in neurology, and a door-to-needle miss or a missed cord compression names the neurologist personally in the malpractice complaint, not the hospital's algorithm vendor.

Trust premium 17/20

The human relationship is the product. A 17 comes from the disease timelines: epilepsy, MS, Parkinson's and ALS patients stay with the same neurologist for a decade, and the willingness to accept a DMT change, a driving restriction, a PEG tube conversation, or hospice referral rests on that specific accumulated relationship rather than the recommendation's content.

Judgment & accountability 18/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. An 18 tracks the calls with no clean rule: thrombolysis in a 79-year-old on apixaban with an unclear last-known-well, immunosuppression escalation in seronegative autoimmune encephalitis that is deteriorating, brain-death determination and apnea testing, and whether an atypical MRI is MS, NMOSD, or sarcoid — each made on incomplete data with irreversible consequences.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, licensure, liability, trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.