← Risk register SOC 29-1171 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Nurse Practitioners

323,040 US workers · median $132,300/yr · Healthcare

SAFE

Nurse practitioners physically examine patients, perform procedures like suturing, joint injections, and pelvic exams, and hold prescriptive authority that requires a licensed human signature — none of which an AI can execute or legally own. The documentation-heavy layer of the job (note writing, coding, prior-auth letters, patient education handouts, differential-diagnosis brainstorming) is exactly what current models do well, so ambient AI scribes and decision support will compress the clerical share of the day rather than the clinical one. The likely outcome is more patients per NP and faster panels, not fewer NPs; note that the licensure/prescribing shield is regulatory and scope-of-practice rules can shift.

10-year outlook: Demand keeps climbing as NPs absorb primary care shortfalls, with AI eliminating most of the charting burden and pushing NPs toward higher patient volumes and harder cases.

Score — 80/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 13 + 16 + 18 + 16 + 17 = 80.

Task resistance 13/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. A 13 reflects the split day: palpating an abdomen, draining an abscess, inserting an IUD, and reading a patient's affect across the exam table stay off-limits to software, but chart review, ICD-10/CPT selection, refill triage, standing-order protocol visits for strep or UTI, and the entire note-writing load are already being handed to scribes and algorithms — enough of the shift is screen work to keep this out of the 14+ band.

Embodiment 16/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. A 16 is earned in acute and primary care rooms where you do the pelvic exam, the joint injection, the wound closure, the neuro exam, and the code — uncontrolled bodies, uncooperative kids, home visits and SNF rounds — though it stops short of 18-20 because a meaningful and growing share of NP visits are telehealth and e-consult where nobody is touched.

Liability shield 18/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. An 18 tracks the fact that your NPI and DEA number go on the prescription, your state licence is what a board can suspend, and in 27-plus full-practice-authority states you are the named defendant rather than a collaborating physician's extension — the two points held back acknowledge that scope-of-practice is statute, and legislatures rewrite statute.

Trust premium 16/20

The human relationship is the product. A 16 reflects panel medicine: patients request you by name, disclose the drinking and the domestic violence because of continuity across years, and adherence to the plan depends on whether they believe you — but urgent care, retail clinics, and locum coverage make a real fraction of NP encounters one-off, which caps it below the 18-20 of a solo therapist or midwife.

Judgment & accountability 17/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. A 17 covers the calls that guidelines don't close: whether this chest pain goes to the ED or home with a stress test next week, whether to start or refuse a controlled substance in a patient with a flagged PDMP, when to override a sepsis alert, and how to work up a vague complaint in someone with six comorbidities — you sign the differential and own the miss, with the shortfall from 20 reflecting how much of primary care runs on USPSTF and specialty algorithms.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works · 2 deployment reports on file

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, licensure, liability, trust

How to future-proof this job

Who is actually doing this

The score above is about what the work exposes. This is reporting about real deployments in this occupation — the difference between "could be automated" and "somebody automated it."

Rush, McLeod Health, Franciscan Missionaries of Our Lady Health System · Northwest Territories Health and Social Services Authority

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.