← Risk register SOC 31-1131 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Nursing Assistants

1,448,910 US workers · median $42,260/yr · Healthcare Support

SAFE

Nearly all of the job is physical contact work in unpredictable bodies and rooms: bathing, toileting, repositioning, transferring with a gait belt or Hoyer lift, feeding residents who choke, changing linens, walking someone who may fall. No robot does this at price, and the paperwork slice AI could take — charting vitals, intake/output logs, shift notes — is a small fraction of the hours. The real threat to this occupation is wage suppression and understaffing, not replacement.

10-year outlook: Demand grows hard with the aging population and this work stays human for the next decade; the fight is over wages, staffing ratios, and injury rates, not over whether the job exists.

Score — 68/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 16 + 20 + 9 + 15 + 8 = 68.

Task resistance 16/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. The automatable slice — vitals entry into the EHR, I&O totals, ADL flowsheets — is maybe 30-45 minutes of a 12-hour shift, while incontinence care, bed baths, two-person transfers, and hand-feeding a dysphagia resident spoonful by spoonful cannot be decomposed into steps a machine executes, which is why this sits at 16 rather than in the mixed band.

Embodiment 20/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You work inside another person's body space in rooms you don't control: kneeling on a bathroom floor to clean a resident who has soiled themselves, catching someone whose knees buckle mid-transfer, turning a 250-pound contracted patient every two hours, absorbing scratches and bites from residents with dementia — there is no version of this performed at a screen, so 20 is the only score available.

Liability shield 9/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. CNA certification is a real state credential with a registry, 75+ federally mandated training hours under OBRA '87, and a competency exam, and you can be listed for abuse or neglect — but you practice under delegated nursing authority, the RN owns the care plan and the assessment, and no malpractice claim names you as the responsible clinician, which caps this at 9 instead of the 14+ a licensed nurse gets.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. Residents in long-term care see the same aide for months and will let only that person touch them during peri-care, and you are the one who notices the new bruise, the refused breakfast, or the change in mood that never made it into a chart — the score stops at 15 rather than 18 because facility staffing churn, agency shifts, and floating assignments mean the institution, not you, keeps the relationship on paper.

Judgment & accountability 8/20

Meaningful discretion. Most of your shift runs on the assignment sheet and care plan — turn schedules, mechanical-lift-only orders, thickened liquids, fall precautions — and the consequential decisions get escalated to the charge nurse; the 8 reflects the discretion that genuinely is yours: deciding this transfer needs a second person today, judging that a resident's confusion is new enough to report now, calling it before a skin breakdown becomes a stage two.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, trust, licensure

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.