← Risk register SOC 31-2012 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Occupational Therapy Aides

4,310 US workers · median $39,160/yr · Healthcare Support

EXPOSED

Aides spend most of the day physically present — setting up therapy equipment, moving patients between treatment areas, cleaning and stocking, guiding patients through routines the OT designed — and none of that is close to robot-ready. The exposure isn't robotics, it's the clerical half of the job: scheduling, insurance forms, supply orders, and progress-note transcription are already being absorbed by software, which shrinks the hours that justify the position. No licensure and no sign-off authority means there is nothing legally reserved to an aide, so the role can be reassigned to OT assistants or techs whenever budgets tighten.

10-year outlook: The job persists because someone must be in the room with the patient, but headcount stays thin and flat as the clerical share evaporates and clinics prefer licensed OTAs who can bill for treatment.

Score — 43/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 17 + 2 + 9 + 4 = 43.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Setting up mat tables, transferring a patient into a splint fitting, and cueing a hand-therapy routine keep this above a 10, but the scheduling, insurance authorization forms, supply reorders and typed session notes that fill the rest of an aide's shift are already handled by clinic software, which is why it sits at 11 rather than in the resistant band.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Every hour is spent in a clinic on your feet — hauling weighted equipment, wiping down mats between patients, walking someone with poor balance from waiting room to ADL kitchen, adapting mid-transfer when a patient's knee buckles — and only the fact that it happens in a controlled, familiar treatment space rather than out in homes and job sites holds it at 17 instead of 20.

Liability shield 2/20

No licence, no signature requirement. Aides need no state licence in any state, typically only a high-school diploma plus CPR, and nothing an aide does is legally reserved to the title — the OT and the licensed OTA carry the documentation and treatment liability, so the 2 reflects on-the-job training rather than any credential that would slow a substitution.

Trust premium 9/20

Some relationship component. Patients in a long rehab course learn which aide sets the splint bath at the right temperature and remembers their grandkids' names, and that familiarity is real, but the plan of care, the reassessments and the discharge conversation all belong to the OT — so the relationship is a comfort layer on someone else's clinical bond, not the product, which is a 9.

Judgment & accountability 4/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. The OT writes the plan and the aide executes it — no evaluations, no treatment modifications, no goal-setting under most state practice acts — and the discretion that does exist is limited to noticing a patient is in pain or a transfer looks unsafe and calling the therapist, which is escalation, not a call you own, hence 4.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Systems analysis & design partner link

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Psychiatric Aides EXPOSED · 64/100 · you already have ~72% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Monitoring, Negotiation

Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors EXPOSED · 61/100 · you already have ~71% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Instructing, Equipment Selection

Psychiatric Technicians SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~70% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Monitoring, Management of Personnel Resources, Reading Comprehension, Systems Analysis

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.