← Risk register SOC 31-1132 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Orderlies

52,440 US workers · median $38,290/yr · Healthcare Support

EXPOSED

Orderlies transfer patients between beds, gurneys and wheelchairs, reposition immobile bodies, transport specimens and equipment, and clean rooms — none of which language models touch and none of which today's robots do safely around frail humans. The exposure is not AI replacing the work but software squeezing it: automated dispatch and transport-request systems, tracking of bed turnover, and AGV carts for supplies and linens erode the non-patient portion of the shift and let hospitals staff thinner. There is no license or personal liability shield here, and the discretion is real but narrow — recognizing that a patient looks wrong and escalating.

10-year outlook: Demand grows with the aging population and the work stays hands-on, but pay stays low and hospitals will use dispatch software and transport robots to cover more patients per orderly — the path up is certification into CNA or a surgical/sterile-processing tech role.

Score — 56/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 15 + 19 + 3 + 11 + 8 = 56.

Task resistance 15/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. A two-person lateral transfer of a 300-pound sedated patient off a gurney, a manual reposition to prevent pressure ulcers, and a terminal clean of an isolation room are physical acts no software performs, which is why this sits at 15 rather than 18 — the AGV linen cart, the automated transport-ticket queue, and the bed-status board have already taken the fetching-and-dispatching slice of the shift.

Embodiment 19/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. The work happens in occupied patient rooms, ORs, morgues and elevators, with wet floors, C. diff precautions, combative or confused patients, and lifting loads that put orderlies among the highest musculoskeletal-injury rates in any US industry; 19 rather than 20 only because some of the shift is pushing carts down predictable corridors.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licence gates this job — most hospitals require a high school diploma, CPR, and in-house lift and bloodborne-pathogen training, and when a patient is dropped during a transfer the claim runs against the hospital and the supervising RN who ordered the move, so the 3 reflects only that a documented competency checklist exists at all.

Trust premium 11/20

Some relationship component. Being the person who moves a frightened patient to imaging or handles a body for the family means patients and nurses ask for the orderly they know, and charge nurses protect the ones who can turn a room fast — but you are assigned by the dispatch queue, not chosen, and float across units, which caps this at 11 instead of the mid-teens.

Judgment & accountability 8/20

Meaningful discretion. Lift protocols, isolation precautions and transport orders are written down and you follow them; the 8 is for the calls that are genuinely yours — refusing an unsafe solo transfer, spotting that a patient has gone gray or unresponsive mid-transport and stopping to call it in, deciding a confused patient shouldn't be left on a gurney unattended.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Childcare Workers SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~56% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Monitoring, Instructing, Learning Strategies, Persuasion

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.