← Risk register SOC 41-2022 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Parts Salespersons

270,070 US workers · median $38,630/yr · Sales

COOKED

The core of the job — looking up part numbers by VIN or model, checking fitment, quoting prices, taking orders, and processing returns — is exactly the catalog-lookup and classification work that software already does well, and e-commerce parts platforms have been eating it for a decade. What survives is physical: pulling stock from bins, receiving and shelving freight, inspecting cores and warranty returns, and standing at a counter helping a mechanic or DIYer figure out what actually broke. Median workers sit in retail and dealership counters where headcount per store keeps falling as online ordering absorbs the lookup volume.

10-year outlook: Expect continued headcount decline as online ordering and AI lookup absorb counter volume; the jobs that remain concentrate in commercial/wholesale desks, specialty parts, and warehouse-side inventory roles.

US employment, 2019–2025+5.4%
256,170270,070 workers

Headcount grew steadily across the period.

Median pay $31,710 → $38,630 -2.5% in real terms (nominal +21.8%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+3.1% 272,100 → 280,600 on the projections basis

Exposed, but growing

AI can already do a lot of these tasks, and the BLS still expects +3.1% more of these jobs by 2034. Demand for the output is growing faster than the work is being automated away — the mechanism BLS gives for software developers, and the combination people most often misread as an error.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~30,200 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 24 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

Parts ClerkSalespersonParts PersonParts PullerParts RunnerParts AdvisorParts SalesmanParts AssociateParts ConsultantParts CountermanParts SpecialistSales SpecialistParts CoordinatorParts SalespersonParts ProfessionalParts Counter ClerkParts CounterpersonParts Counter PersonParts Back Counter ManMerchandising AssistantParts Counter AssociateParts Counter SalespersonRetail Parts ProfessionalWholesale Parts Salesperson

Score — 30/100 resistance

Holding it up: embodiment (10/20). Weakest point: liability shield (1/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 7 + 10 + 1 + 7 + 5 = 30. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 7/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier A 7 rather than a 4 because VIN decoding, fitment checks, and price quoting are already handled by Epicor/PartsTech-style catalogs, but the residual — diagnosing what a customer means when they bring in a broken bracket with no part number, cross-referencing a superseded OEM number against three aftermarket brands, and pulling and staging the stock — still needs a person at the counter; a 12 would require most shifts to be non-catalog work, and they aren't.

Embodiment 10/20

Some physical or field component A 10 fits a job spent walking bins and back rooms, unloading hotshot deliveries, lifting rotors and batteries onto the counter, and physically inspecting cores for cracked housings or leaked fluid — real bodily work, but inside a lit, shelved, climate-adjacent store, not a roof or a trench, which is what separates this from 15+.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement A 1 because no state licenses parts counter work; if you sell the wrong brake caliper, the store eats the return and the installing shop or manufacturer carries the failure exposure, and nothing about you personally is on file with a regulator.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component A 7 reflects that the fleet manager and the independent shop foreman who call the same counter person by name and expect their account terms and preferred brands remembered represent real repeat relationships, but most walk-in DIY volume is a one-time transaction that migrates to whichever website has the part in stock cheaper.

Judgment & accountability 5/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs A 5 because most calls are bounded by the catalog, the warranty policy, and a return window with a manager override above a dollar threshold — the discretion you do exercise, like accepting a marginal core or advising a customer to buy the OEM instead of the economy line, is real but low-stakes and reversible.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: embodiment, trust

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Coursera — people management and team leadership specialisations free to audit · edX — performance measurement and evaluation free to audit · MIT OpenCourseWare — systems analysis and engineering free · edX — systems thinking and evaluation methods free to audit

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — occupations you could move toward

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill and knowledge profiles: high overlap with what you already do, a materially higher resistance score, no large jump in required training, and no licence you would have to start a new pipeline to get. Targets that pay meaningfully less, that are themselves COOKED, or whose own headcount is falling are excluded — a move into a shrinking trade is not an escape.

First-Line Supervisors of Gambling Services Workers EXPOSED · 57/100 · you already have ~54% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Personnel Resources, Monitoring, Systems Analysis, Systems Evaluation

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 43/100 — EXPOSED.

4 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening embodiment +4

    Counter work consolidating into hub-and-spoke distribution: if store counters shrink but regional DC pick/pack, core inspection, and hotshot delivery roles absorb the headcount, the surviving job is physical bin-pulling, freight receiving, and hands-on core/warranty inspection in cluttered non-standard stockrooms that pick robots don't handle at auto-parts SKU breadth (millions of part numbers, irregular packaging).

  • already happening task resistance +4

    Task-mix shift to the diagnostic tier: the job genuinely has two tiers — catalog lookup, and the counter conversation where a DIYer describes a noise or brings in a broken part with no number. If e-commerce absorbs all clean-lookup volume, what remains at the counter is identify-from-fragment, supersession/interchange disputes, and fitment failures the catalog got wrong — work that requires holding the part.

  • plausible judgment accountability +3

    Warranty and core adjudication authority: if manufacturers push more first-line warranty denial/approval and core credit decisions onto the counter person (as dealership parts departments already do for OEM warranty claims subject to manufacturer audit chargeback), the role owns money decisions under ambiguous evidence of abuse vs. defect.

  • plausible trust premium +2

    Commercial account relationships: independent repair shops paying a premium to a specific jobber counter because the counterperson knows their bays, catches wrong-fitment orders before the car is on the lift, and eats the cost of a bad call — the existing basis of the commercial-vs-retail split at NAPA/CarQuest jobbers. This is a real but narrow premium and it does not extend to DIY retail.

The limit. No realistic liability_shield route — there is no license to sell parts and no statutory signature requirement anywhere in the US; that dimension stays near zero. The embodiment and task-mix gains are gains per surviving worker, not gains in total headcount: the occupation can become harder to automate while shrinking sharply. Realistic ceiling is low-to-mid 40s.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 391 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 8,690 $41,600 +8%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 7,160 $36,010 -7%
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX 6,200 $34,010 -12%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 6,050 $46,930 +21%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 5,450 $36,940 -4%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN 5,270 $44,260 +15%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 4,300 $40,860 +6%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 3,910 $37,860 -2%

Best paid

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 940 $50,200 +30%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 2,170 $50,030 +30%
Greeley, CO 280 $49,080 +27%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $38,630. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this — nobody, on the record

We have no reported case of a named organisation automating this occupation. Not one deployment, not one announcement.

That is worth saying out loud next to a score of 30. The verdict above is about what the work exposes — what current AI could do to these tasks. It is not a claim that anyone has done it. For this occupation those two things have come apart completely: the capability argument is on this page, and the evidence column is empty.

Read that as a gap in the reporting we can see, not proof of absence — the dispatch runs on English-language feeds and misses plenty. If you know of a case, tell us, or add a field report from inside the job.

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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Kept current

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