← Risk register SOC 29-1071 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Physician Assistants

162,150 US workers · median $135,880/yr · Healthcare

SAFE

PAs spend their day doing physical exams, suturing, injections, casting, assisting in surgery, and delivering diagnoses face to face — none of which a language model or current robot performs. The automatable slice is real but bounded: chart notes, differential lists, order sets, patient instructions, and coding are already being drafted by AI, which compresses documentation time rather than the clinical visit. State licensure plus prescriptive authority means a liable human signs the chart and the prescription.

10-year outlook: Demand keeps growing as PAs absorb visits from physician shortages; AI strips documentation and routine triage from the day, pushing PAs further toward procedures, complex patients, and signed clinical accountability.

Score — 77/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 13 + 17 + 17 + 15 + 15 = 77.

Task resistance 13/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. 13 rather than 16 because a real fraction of a PA's shift is genuinely displaceable — ambient scribes now draft the H&P and SOAP note, order sets and refill authorizations are protocol-driven, and much of urgent-care triage (strep, UTI, med refills) is already being routed to algorithmic e-visits — but the palpation, wound closure, joint injection, and pelvic exam that anchor the visit stay human.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. 17 reflects that PA work happens on live bodies in uncontrolled settings — draining an abscess in a clinic room, first-assisting with retraction in an OR, reducing a dislocated shoulder in an ED bay, splinting on an ortho floor — with the remaining 3 points held back only because some PAs practice in narrow specialties (derm reads, psych med management, telehealth) where the hands-on share drops.

Liability shield 17/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. 17 because PAs hold a state licence plus DEA registration and prescriptive authority, are named defendants in malpractice suits in their own right, and their signature on the chart and script is the legally operative act — short of 20 only because most states still tie practice to a collaborating or supervising physician agreement, so the accountability is shared rather than solely theirs.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. 15 because in primary care, ortho, and oncology panels the PA is the clinician the patient actually sees every visit and tells things they withhold from the attending, and continuity drives adherence — but locum, ED, and surgical-assist PAs meet patients once, which is what separates this from the 18-20 of a longitudinal family physician.

Judgment & accountability 15/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. 15 because the PA decides who gets a CT versus reassurance, who is admitted versus sent home, when chest pain is reflux and when it is an NSTEMI, and titrates opioids and antibiotics under stewardship pressure — high-stakes and ambiguous, though tempered by guidelines, standing orders, and the option to escalate to the supervising physician.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, licensure, trust

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.