← Risk register SOC 29-1125 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Recreational Therapists

14,930 US workers · median $61,960/yr · Healthcare

SAFE

The core of the job is physically leading adaptive sports, arts, community outings, and social-skills groups with patients who have brain injuries, psychiatric conditions, or mobility limits — that is in-room, hands-on work AI cannot do. What AI does absorb is the paperwork layer: treatment plan drafting, progress notes, insurance documentation, and activity ideation. Credentialing (CTRS) plus state licensure in a handful of states gives partial protection, but the stronger moats are embodiment and the therapeutic relationship itself.

10-year outlook: Demand grows with aging and rehab populations; the documentation half of the job compresses, so the same headcount spends more hours in direct patient contact.

Score — 69/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 14 + 16 + 10 + 17 + 12 = 69.

Task resistance 14/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Running a wheelchair basketball session, transferring a stroke patient into an adaptive kayak, or de-escalating a psychiatric inpatient mid-group are tasks that stay human, but the Functional Independence Measure scoring, CMS-required treatment plan templates, activity-idea generation, and discharge summaries are a real slice of the week that software now drafts — that documented paperwork share is what holds it at 14 instead of 18.

Embodiment 16/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are on the floor in a gym, pool, community bus, or day room, doing physical assists and gait-belt transfers with patients who fall, resist, or seize, in settings you do not control — a community outing to a grocery store or a fishing trip is the opposite of a fixed workstation, which puts this near the top rather than at the mid-range of jobs with 'some' physical work.

Liability shield 10/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. CTRS credentialing through NCTRC is required by most hospitals and by CMS conditions of participation for inpatient rehab, but only a few states (NC, UT, NH, OK) license the title, so an unlicensed activity aide can legally do adjacent work in most of the country — that gap between employer-mandated certification and statutory practice protection is exactly a 10, not a nurse's 17.

Trust premium 17/20

The human relationship is the product. A patient with a traumatic brain injury who will not participate in anything does so for the specific therapist who learned they used to play guitar; the leisure interest inventory and rapport-building are the intervention itself, not a wrapper around it, and continuity across a 4-week rehab stay is why families ask for you by name.

Judgment & accountability 12/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide whether a patient is ready for an unsupervised community reintegration outing, whether a fall risk can attempt standing basketball, and when to report suicidal statements disclosed in a group — real calls with real consequences, but they are made inside an interdisciplinary team where the physician and case manager sign off on the plan and the discharge, which caps this at 12 rather than the 16 of the person who owns the decision alone.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, trust, licensure

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.