← Risk register SOC 19-3041 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Sociologists

2,260 US workers · median $106,030/yr · Science

EXPOSED

The daily output of a sociologist is text and data: literature reviews, survey instrument drafts, regression and coding runs, interview transcript analysis, grant narratives, journal manuscripts — the exact work current models do at usable draft quality. What resists is the front end (choosing which social question matters, designing a sample that survives peer review) and the field end (gaining access to communities, sitting with respondents, reading a setting in person). No licensure protects the title, and much of the employment is grant- and university-funded, so budget pressure hits before AI does.

10-year outlook: The occupation is small and stays small; academic and pure-research slots shrink while applied evaluation, survey methodology, and field-based roles hold, so the median sociologist in 2035 is doing more primary data collection and less writing.

Score — 34/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 8 + 6 + 2 + 7 + 11 = 34.

Task resistance 8/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. An 8 reflects the split in a sociologist's week: coding open-ended responses, running Stata/R models, writing literature reviews and journal drafts are now draft-quality machine output, while framing a researchable question about, say, neighborhood effects and defending a sampling design through IRB and reviewer 2 still requires a person who knows the discipline's arguments — that's mixed, not resistant.

Embodiment 6/20

Some physical or field component. The 6 comes from fieldwork that some sociologists actually do — ethnographic observation in a school or shelter, in-person interviews, recruiting respondents at a site — but most days are laptop, dataset, and manuscript, so this sits just above desk-only rather than in the field-truck range.

Liability shield 2/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licenses the title 'sociologist'; a PhD is a hiring credential, not a legal gate, and nothing in your survey report requires your signature the way a PE stamp or clinical license does — hence a 2 rather than zero, since IRB approval and university appointment still put a named human on the protocol.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component. A 7 covers the relationships that matter — repeat access to a community that lets you back in, a named PI a foundation program officer trusts with a grant — but the journal article is read and cited without regard to who wrote it, and survey respondents talk to the study, not to you.

Judgment & accountability 11/20

Meaningful discretion. An 11 is right because you decide what counts as a case, where to cut a coding scheme, and whether a finding about disparity is robust enough to publish — real discretion with reputational stakes — but peer review, co-authors, and IRB spread the consequences, and no one's liberty or life turns on the call.

Scored twice. An independent second run returned 34/100 — EXPOSED, agreeing with the verdict above.

This score sits on a verdict boundary. At 34/100 it is one point from COOKED. Re-scoring moves results by a point or two, so here the score is more informative than the label.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: judgment, trust

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Anthropology and Archeology Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 51/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Instructing, Speaking, Reading Comprehension, Time Management

Anthropologists and Archeologists EXPOSED · 51/100 · you already have ~88% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operation and Control, Quality Control Analysis

Education Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 50/100 · you already have ~84% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Instructing, Speaking, Time Management

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.