← Risk register SOC 25-9045 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Teaching Assistants, Except Postsecondary

1,420,350 US workers · median $36,780/yr · Education

EXPOSED

The core of this job — sitting beside a struggling second-grader, de-escalating a meltdown, assisting a student with feeding, toileting, or mobility, watching a playground — is physical child supervision that no current robot or chatbot performs. What AI does erode is the paperwork edge: drafting worksheets, grading practice sets, prepping materials, logging behavior data, and one-on-one reading/math drill, where adaptive software is already deployed in classrooms. The modal worker here is a special-education paraprofessional whose real risk is district budget cuts and edtech substitution for tutoring blocks, not automation of the caregiving core; the weak spot is the near-total absence of a licensure shield (ParaPro test or associate degree, not a protected license).

10-year outlook: Headcount holds or grows because special-education caseloads and supervision ratios are legally driven, but general-classroom aides whose day is worksheets, prep, and drill tutoring will be thinned first as districts substitute adaptive software under budget pressure.

Score — 60/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 16 + 17 + 5 + 13 + 9 = 60.

Task resistance 16/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Physically restraining a student mid-crisis under a district's approved restraint protocol, changing a diaper for a nonverbal 10-year-old, and shadowing a runner on the playground are the tasks that fill the day, and none of them decompose into anything a model can do — the 16 rather than 19 reflects that grading practice sets, prepping laminated materials, logging ABC behavior data, and running the scripted reading fluency drill are genuinely being handed to adaptive software.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You work in hallways, cafeterias, buses, sensory rooms, and playgrounds — uncontrolled spaces with unpredictable bodies — doing lifting, transfers, hand-over-hand feeding, and physical de-escalation; it sits at 17 rather than 20 only because a meaningful slice of the week is spent seated at a table or a computer doing small-group instruction and data entry.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. The ParaPro Assessment or two years of college credit under ESSA is a hiring screen, not a license — no board can revoke your practice, and when an IEP goal is missed or an incident report is filed, the certified special-education teacher and the district own it, which is why this is 5 and not 0: the ESSA paraprofessional requirement is a real federal floor a district cannot simply waive.

Trust premium 13/20

The human relationship is the product. You are often the one adult a specific student will accept — the paraprofessional assigned 1:1 whose removal triggers regression, whose reading of a kid's pre-meltdown cues is documented nowhere; 13 rather than 17 because the assignment is made by the district, follows the placement, and parents did not choose you by name.

Judgment & accountability 9/20

Meaningful discretion. You make live calls the IEP does not spell out — when to prompt versus wait, when a behavior plan is failing today, when to pull a student from the room — but the plan, the goals, and the consequential decisions are written by the teacher and the IEP team, so 9 reflects real in-the-moment discretion inside someone else's framework rather than ownership of the outcome.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence, trust

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.