← Risk register SOC 25-1041 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary

8,920 US workers · median $98,700/yr · Education

EXPOSED

Lecture prep, syllabus writing, quiz generation, literature reviews and first drafts of grant proposals and journal manuscripts are already within reach of current AI, and that is a real share of the week. What doesn't move: running teaching farms, greenhouses, soils and animal-science labs, supervising field trials and graduate research, and mentoring students who will be hired on your recommendation. No license gates the job, but accreditation, tenure structures and the land-grant extension mission slow displacement more than the task mix alone would suggest.

10-year outlook: Enrollment-driven and mostly stable through the 2030s, but expect fewer lecture-only lines, more AI-assisted course delivery, and hiring concentrated on faculty who run labs, field stations, and extension programs.

Score — 56/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 12 + 12 + 4 + 15 + 13 = 56.

Task resistance 12/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Roughly half the week — writing lecture slides on ruminant nutrition, generating exam banks, summarizing agronomy literature, drafting USDA/NIFA proposal boilerplate — is now first-draftable by a model, which is why this sits at 12 rather than 16; what holds the line is calibrating a soil-testing lab, diagnosing a sick calf in front of 20 students, and reading a graduate student's failing plot trial in person.

Embodiment 12/20

Some physical or field component. At 12 rather than 4, this reflects real time in teaching greenhouses, livestock handling facilities, ag mechanics shops and rain-dependent research plots where you demonstrate AI breeding, tissue sampling or tractor PTO safety; it stays below 13 because the classroom, office hours and manuscript writing still consume most contact hours and the field work is on a departmental farm you control, not an uncontrolled site.

Liability shield 4/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state license, no board exam, and no personal signature standing behind your instruction — a 4 rather than 0 only because pesticide applicator certification, animal-care IACUC protocols and USDA lab compliance training create paperwork you must personally hold, none of which restricts who may teach the course.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. At 15, the score reflects that your letter of recommendation is what places students with seed companies, extension offices and vet schools, that producers and county agents call you by name for a diagnosis, and that graduate advising is a multi-year personal relationship; it is not 18-20 because large intro sections and service courses are taught to students who will never learn your first name.

Judgment & accountability 13/20

Meaningful discretion. A 13 covers deciding whether a thesis is defensible, whether a herd-health or pesticide demonstration is safe to run with undergraduates present, and how to grade contested capstone work — consequential calls you own, but bounded by curriculum committees, IACUC review, tenure-and-promotion criteria and accreditation standards that pre-decide much of the frame.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.