← Risk register SOC 27-2022 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Coaches and Scouts

248,950 US workers · median $47,320/yr · Media

SAFE

The modal worker here is a high school or youth-level coach, not a pro scout: the job is standing on a field or court demonstrating technique, correcting a 14-year-old's footwork in real time, managing a locker room, and deciding who plays. None of that digitizes — but the scouting half of this title is genuinely exposed, since video-tracking and predictive models already do much of the talent-identification and opponent-tendency work that scouts once produced by hand. Sign-off liability is thin (CPR/concussion certs, state coaching credentials, not professional licensure), so the moats are physical presence, athlete trust, and ownership of playing-time and safety calls.

10-year outlook: In-person coaching demand holds steady with youth sports participation, while pure scouting and film-breakdown roles shrink as clubs replace headcount with tracking data and video models.

Score — 68/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 15 + 17 + 5 + 17 + 14 = 68.

Task resistance 15/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Running a two-hour practice — cueing a swimmer's turn mid-set, breaking up a locker-room conflict, adjusting a game plan at halftime after seeing the other team's press — has no digitizable substitute, and the 15 rather than 19 reflects that film breakdown, opponent tendency reports, practice-plan drafting, and stat-based lineup analysis are already routinely offloaded to software and scouting platforms.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are outdoors in heat and rain, throwing batting practice, holding blocking pads, spotting a gymnast on beam, and physically pulling a kid out of a drill before he gets hurt — the 17 rather than 20 only because meetings, film sessions, recruiting calls, and travel logistics take real hours off the field.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. CPR/AED, concussion protocol training, and a state coaching credential or NFHS certificate are the ceiling here; no board can revoke your right to coach, and when an injury lawsuit lands it names the district and the athletic director alongside you, which is why this sits at 5 and not in licensed-professional territory.

Trust premium 17/20

The human relationship is the product. Parents hand over their kid, a senior decides whether to keep playing, and a recruit chooses a program largely because of who is going to coach them — that relationship is the retention mechanism and the reason coaching jobs follow individuals between programs, held just under the top band because wins and losses can override it fast.

Judgment & accountability 14/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. You decide who starts, who gets cut, whether a concussed or cramping athlete returns to play, and how much load a growing 15-year-old can take — calls made in seconds with incomplete information and real physical consequences, scoring 14 because playing-time and safety decisions are yours to own even though return-to-play protocols and eligibility rules constrain the edges.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.