← Risk register SOC 51-4032 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

4,680 US workers · median $49,080/yr · Production

COOKED

The core loop — read a print, set stops and speeds, load and unload parts, drill or bore to spec, gauge with calipers and micrometers — is exactly what CNC machining centers, automatic tool changers, and pallet loaders were built to absorb, and the modal worker here is tending rather than programming. Physical presence in a shop keeps a floor under this job, but it's a controlled, repeatable environment, which is where industrial automation is strongest and where a robot cell pays back fastest. No licensure, no client relationship, and very little discretion beyond scrapping a bad part; employment is already down to under 5,000 nationally, which tells you where the trend went.

10-year outlook: Expect continued contraction as remaining drilling work folds into multi-axis machining centers and automated cells; the workers who stay employed will be titled machinists or CNC programmers, not tenders.

Score — 29/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 9 + 13 + 1 + 2 + 4 = 29.

Task resistance 9/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Setting a drill jig, indicating a workpiece true, changing a dull twist drill and holding a bore to a few tenths still needs a person on a manual or semi-auto machine, but the print-to-part loop is fully proceduralized and a CNC machining center with a tool changer does the same hole pattern unattended — a 9 rather than a 4 because deep-hole work, odd fixturing and short-run job-shop parts still get set up by hand.

Embodiment 13/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are standing at the machine loading castings, clamping in a vise, blowing chips, flooding coolant and pulling parts to the surface plate — but it's a bolted-down machine on a shop floor with known part geometry, not a job site, which is why this sits at 13 and not at the 17-plus of a field millwright.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. Nothing you drill requires you to hold a licence or sign for it; NIMS credentials and blueprint-reading certificates help you get hired but the shop's quality department and the customer's PPAP paperwork carry the liability, so there is no legal barrier stopping a robot from doing the operation.

Trust premium 2/20

Anonymous artifact production. The parts leave in a tote with a job number on them and the customer never learns who ran the operation; a 2 only reflects that a foreman knows which operator can hold tolerance on a tricky setup, which is reputation inside one building, not a client relationship.

Judgment & accountability 4/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. Your calls are bounded by the setup sheet and the feed-and-speed chart — pull a chipped drill, re-indicate a part that's running out, scrap one that's oversize, flag the inspector — real decisions with real consequences for scrap cost, but every one of them has a defined right answer, which is why this is a 4 and not a 10.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Programming fundamentals partner link

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic EXPOSED · 50/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Programming, Operations Analysis, Operation and Control

Maintenance Workers, Machinery EXPOSED · 63/100 · you already have ~83% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Repairing, Equipment Maintenance, Installation, Troubleshooting

Sheet Metal Workers SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~83% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Installation, Instructing, Management of Personnel Resources

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.