← Risk register SOC 25-1081 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Education Teachers, Postsecondary

60,830 US workers · median $75,350/yr · Education

EXPOSED

Education professors split their week between lecturing on pedagogy, grading reflective papers and lesson plans, advising teacher candidates, observing student teachers in K-12 classrooms, and writing accreditation reports — and AI already drafts syllabi, rubrics, discussion prompts, feedback on lesson plans, and literature reviews at usable quality. What holds is the embodied part: sitting in the back of a third-grade classroom watching a candidate manage 25 kids, then coaching them on what went wrong, plus the mentorship relationship districts and licensure boards rely on. The modal worker here is contingent or non-tenure-track faculty, so institutional cost pressure — larger sections, more asynchronous delivery — is a bigger near-term threat than the model itself.

10-year outlook: Lecture-and-grade faculty lines will thin as courses go asynchronous with AI-assisted content and feedback, while faculty anchored in clinical supervision, district partnerships, and candidate gatekeeping keep their seats.

Score — 50/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 10 + 3 + 15 + 11 = 50.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. The lecture-plus-rubric-plus-literature-review half of the week is already drafted competently by a model, but the other half — clinical placement supervision, live observation cycles with pre-conference and post-conference debriefs, and CAEP/state program-review evidence that must be tied to actual candidate performance — has no digital substitute yet, which is what puts this at 11 rather than down at 5 with lecture-only humanities faculty.

Embodiment 10/20

Some physical or field component. Field supervision means driving to elementary and secondary schools several times a semester, sitting in a classroom you don't control, and reading a candidate's proximity, voice, and transition management in real time — real physical presence, but it's a few hours a week in K-12 buildings rather than the daily uncontrolled-site work of a nurse or electrician, hence 10 and not 16.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licence gates the job of teaching education courses; a doctorate and, in some programs, a lapsed K-12 credential are hiring preferences, and when a program loses accreditation or a graduate fails licensure, the consequence lands on the institution and the dean, not on your personal certificate — the 3 reflects that even the state approval process names the program, not you.

Trust premium 15/20

The human relationship is the product. Teacher candidates choose and stay in programs on the strength of a named mentor who watched them teach, wrote the recommendation the district reads, and takes their call in year one of teaching — districts recruit from specific supervisors they trust, and that referral network is the part of the job no one can transfer or automate, which is why this sits at 15.

Judgment & accountability 11/20

Meaningful discretion. Deciding whether a struggling candidate is remediated, removed from placement, or recommended for licensure is a genuinely contestable call with a child's future classroom on the other side of it, but you make it inside program rubrics, disposition checklists, and state approval standards with a committee or chair signing off, which caps it at 11 rather than the high-teens of someone who owns the decision alone.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: trust, physical-presence, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education SAFE · 69/100 · you already have ~82% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Quality Control Analysis, Judgment and Decision Making, Mathematics

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education SAFE · 72/100 · you already have ~81% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Service Orientation, Social Perceptiveness, Judgment and Decision Making

Special Education Teachers, Middle School SAFE · 76/100 · you already have ~79% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Service Orientation, Social Perceptiveness, Judgment and Decision Making

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.