← Risk register SOC 47-2111 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Electricians

757,220 US workers · median $63,190/yr · Construction

SAFE

The core of the job — pulling wire through finished walls, terminating panels, bending conduit in a joist bay, troubleshooting a dead circuit in an occupied building — happens in cramped, non-standardized physical spaces that no current robot handles. AI can already read prints, size conductors, generate load calculations, write estimates and permit paperwork, and diagnose from a photo of a panel, which trims the office and pre-planning hours but not the fieldwork. Most states require a licensed journeyman or master electrician for permitted work and inspection sign-off, and that person carries personal liability for a fire or a shock, which is a regulatory moat that could narrow but shows no sign of doing so.

10-year outlook: Demand grows through the 2030s on electrification, data centers, and an aging workforce retiring faster than apprentices replace them; AI eats the estimating desk, not the ladder.

Score — 80/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 17 + 20 + 16 + 13 + 14 = 80.

Task resistance 17/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Fishing 12-2 through a plaster wall with no access, bending offsets to hit a knockout that's three-quarters of an inch off print, and chasing an intermittent neutral in a 40-year-old panel are decided by feel and improvisation in the moment, so even though estimating, load calcs and takeoffs are already software-driven, the billable hours sit in tasks with no digital substitute — hence 17 rather than a mid-teens score.

Embodiment 20/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Every day involves attics at 130°F, crawlspaces, scissor lifts, trenches, live 480V gear in a mechanical room and ladders on unfinished slab — the work is not merely physical, it is physical in environments that change hour to hour and were never designed for a machine to enter, which is what a 20 means.

Liability shield 16/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. Permitted work requires a licensed journeyman or master under state law, the master's licence is on the permit and the AHJ inspector signs against that name, and a fire traced to a loose lug or an unbonded ground lands on that person's licence and insurance; it sits at 16 rather than 20 only because helpers and apprentices legally do much of the hands-on work under supervision.

Trust premium 13/20

The human relationship is the product. Repeat service work, GCs who call the same shop for the next tenant fit-out, and homeowners who let you into an occupied house mean referral and reputation drive the book — but competitive bid work on new construction is awarded on price to a licence number nobody has met, which caps this at 13 instead of the high teens.

Judgment & accountability 14/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. Deciding whether an existing service can carry a new heat pump, whether that 60-year-old cloth-wire branch circuit gets repaired or condemned, or how to safely energize when the shutdown window has already closed are calls made on incomplete information with fire and electrocution as the failure mode, though NEC tables and inspection bound the discretion enough to keep it at 14 rather than higher.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, licensure, liability

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.