← Risk register SOC 25-2021 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

1,388,390 US workers · median $63,970/yr · Education

SAFE

The paperwork layer of this job — lesson plans, worksheets, rubrics, differentiated reading passages, parent newsletters, report-card comment drafts — is already being generated by AI in minutes. But the actual work is keeping 24 seven-year-olds regulated, safe, and learning in one room for six hours, which is embodied supervision of minors that no software or robot performs. State licensure, mandated-reporter duty, and in loco parentis custody make a certified adult legally necessary in the room; that shield is regulatory and durable but not permanent.

10-year outlook: Headcount holds roughly steady on enrollment and class-size rules rather than AI, but the prep-and-grading half of the week compresses hard, and teachers who redirect that time into intervention and family relationships will be the ones districts protect.

Score — 72/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 13 + 15 + 13 + 18 + 13 = 72.

Task resistance 13/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. A 13 reflects the split you live: the generative half of your prep — leveled passages, exit tickets, IEP-adjacent accommodation language, standards-aligned unit maps, Friday newsletters — is genuinely being drafted by a model now, while teaching a child to decode CVC words, running a small group where one kid is crying and another is under the table, and reading the room during a fire drill do not decompose into prompts.

Embodiment 15/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. 15 puts you above nurses' aides in a controlled ward and below a lineman: the room is uncontrolled — playground duty, lunchroom, bathroom escorts, a vomit incident before 9am, physically redirecting a bolting student — but it's still an indoor space you know, with a floor plan and a door.

Liability shield 13/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. 13 is state licensure plus mandated-reporter statute plus in loco parentis custody, which legally requires a certified adult present for the instructional day; it's not 18 because the liability mostly runs through the district's insurance and your union contract rather than landing on you personally the way it does on a physician's malpractice policy.

Trust premium 18/20

The human relationship is the product. 18 because the second-grader who will read for you and not for a substitute is the entire mechanism of the job — parents choose schools by teacher reputation, and a year of attachment to one adult is what makes the academic gains happen, which is why long-term-sub coverage measurably underperforms.

Judgment & accountability 13/20

Meaningful discretion. 13 sits where it does because you make consequential unscripted calls daily — whether that bruise is a DCF call, whether to hold a child at Tier 2 or refer for evaluation, how to seat and pair a class — but curriculum pacing, adopted reading programs, and state testing windows are handed to you, so the frame is set by someone else.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, licensure, trust

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.