← Risk register SOC 25-9021 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Farm and Home Management Educators

8,220 US workers · median $60,220/yr · Education

EXPOSED

Cooperative extension agents spend much of their time producing fact sheets, newsletters, grant reports, and workshop curricula — text work that generative AI drafts at usable quality, and farmers can now query an AI directly for the agronomic lookup questions that once required a call to the county office. What survives is the part that requires boots in a field: walking a soybean stand to diagnose a disease, running a pesticide-safety or food-preservation demonstration, and holding decades of trust with specific farm families who take advice from a known person, not a chatbot. Scored for the modal county-level agent; research-station specialists sit somewhat higher.

10-year outlook: Extension survives as a field-and-community role but with fewer positions and less time spent producing written materials, so the agents who keep their jobs will be the ones logging site visits and running hands-on programs.

Score — 51/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 12 + 4 + 14 + 10 = 51.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Roughly half the job — soil-test interpretation, budget worksheets, 4-H curriculum writing, monthly newsletters, needs assessments, and USDA/NIFA reporting — is text and spreadsheet work AI now drafts, while on-farm scouting visits, hands-on canning and pesticide-applicator trainings, and county fair judging still need a person present, which lands it at 11 rather than in either extreme.

Embodiment 12/20

Some physical or field component. A county agent drives a truck to farms in mud and heat, pulls soil cores, inspects livestock and pest damage, and sets up demonstration plots, but the majority of hours are still spent in an office at a desk or in a climate-controlled meeting room, so it sits at 12 rather than up with field crop workers.

Liability shield 4/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licence gates this work — a bachelor's or master's in agriculture plus a state pesticide-applicator or ServSafe credential is the norm, and extension advice is delivered as land-grant recommendation, not certified professional opinion, so nobody's signature carries personal liability if a nitrogen rate underperforms.

Trust premium 14/20

The human relationship is the product. The 14 reflects that adoption of extension advice tracks the agent's personal standing in the county — farm families who have known you across two generations, 4-H parents, and producers who call your cell before they call a chemical rep — a relationship that a new hire, human or otherwise, cannot inherit on day one.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion. Advice is anchored to published land-grant recommendations, label rates, and USDA program rules, but the agent independently decides what a failing field actually needs, whether a family's finances warrant a program referral, and when a food-safety practice is unsafe enough to shut down — real discretion within someone else's guidelines, hence 10.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: trust, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Chefs and Head Cooks SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~62% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Quality Control Analysis, Equipment Maintenance, Management of Personnel Resources, Repairing

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.