← Risk register SOC 27-4032 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Film and Video Editors

25,610 US workers · median $75,420/yr · Media

COOKED

Editing is entirely screen-based, and the volume tiers of the work — logging footage, syncing audio, transcript-driven rough cuts, captioning, reframing for vertical, basic color and audio cleanup, cutting 40 social variants from one master — are already handled well by Premiere/Resolve AI features and text-based editors. What survives is narrative judgment: pacing a scene so it lands emotionally, structuring a documentary from 200 hours of unscripted material, and sitting in a room with a director or client absorbing vague notes and turning them into a cut. The modal editor today does more corporate, social, and promo work than feature narrative, and that modal work is exactly the part collapsing in price.

10-year outlook: Total editor headcount shrinks as one senior editor plus AI absorbs the volume work; the survivors are story-structure editors and post supervisors with direct client trust.

US employment, 2019–2025-7.1%
27,57025,610 workers

Nearly all of this fall was the 2020 shock. It has been climbing back since.

Median pay $63,780 → $75,420 -5.4% in real terms (nominal +18.3%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+4%

Percentage only. The projection counts a different population from the 25,610 above — it includes self-employed workers, which for this occupation is most of them, so the two headcounts are not comparable.

Exposed, but growing

AI can already do a lot of these tasks, and the BLS still expects +4% more of these jobs by 2034. Demand for the output is growing faster than the work is being automated away — the mechanism BLS gives for software developers, and the combination people most often misread as an error.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~3,600 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 24 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

EditorFilmmakerFilm EditorNews EditorTape EditorCue SelectorMovie EditorVideo EditorOnline EditorContent CreatorVideotape EditorNews Video EditorNon-Linear EditorDigital Video EditorContract Video EditorMultimedia SpecialistNews Videotape EditorVideo Content CreatorVideo Tape DuplicatorVideo Tape TransferrerVideo Production EditorDigital Media CoordinatorTelevision News Video EditorOptical Effects Layout Person

Score — 32/100 resistance

Holding it up: judgment & accountability (10/20). Weakest point: liability shield (1/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 9 + 4 + 1 + 8 + 10 = 32. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 9/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier A 9 sits mid-band because the assembly layer — ingest, multicam sync, transcript-based stringouts, subtitle burn-in, 9:16 reframes, loudness normalization to -14 LUFS — is now a menu command, while structuring a 45-minute unscripted episode from mismatched interview coverage and finding the one reaction shot that makes a beat work still requires someone watching every frame and deciding what it means.

Embodiment 4/20

Fully desk- and screen-based A 4, not 0, only because you still physically handle drives, LTO pulls, and reference monitors in a calibrated suite and occasionally sit on set for on-location assembly — but nothing in the job requires leaving a desk with a keyboard, tablet, and two displays.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement There is no licence, no board, and no exam for editing; the E&O policy and the delivery contract sit with the producer or post house, so a botched cut costs you the next gig, not your right to practice.

Trust premium 8/20

Some relationship component An 8 reflects that directors and showrunners rehire the specific editor who already knows their taste and can read "it feels flat around the middle" — but on branded, corporate, and social work you're a line item on a rate card, replaced between projects without a conversation.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion A 10 covers the real discretion in pacing, structure, and what a documentary subject's on-camera contradiction is allowed to imply — but the director, showrunner, or client approves the cut before it ships, so the ambiguous high-stakes call is theirs to sign off on.

Scored twice. An independent second run returned 31/100 — COOKED, agreeing with the verdict above.

This score sits on a verdict boundary. At 32/100 it is one point from EXPOSED. Re-scoring moves results by a point or two, so here the score is more informative than the label.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Where to go deeper on what this job runs on: Coursera — active listening and communication skills free to audit · Coursera — critical thinking and logic, audit free free to audit · Khan Academy — reading and vocabulary, all levels, free free · Toastmasters — public speaking practice at local clubs worldwide low · MIT OpenCourseWare — full course materials across every department, free free · MIT OpenCourseWare — problem-solving and analytical method courses free

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — nothing clears the bar

No occupation passed every test: close enough to film and video editors on skills and subject matter, at least 10 points more resistant, no big jump in training, no new licence, no pay cut, and not shrinking on its own. That happens for 223 of the 654 occupations here that aren't SAFE, and it is worth stating plainly rather than leaving the section off.

The usual reason is that exposure travels with the skill profile. The jobs most similar to yours tend to be exposed for the same reasons yours is, so the near neighbours don't clear the gap — and the ones that do are a different kind of work, not a transfer of what you already know. Read that as a limit of this method, not a verdict that you're stuck: it only compares whole occupations, and it cannot see specialisation, industry, or anything you'd bring that isn't in a federal skill survey.

Here is that claim on your own job rather than in the abstract. These are the three occupations closest to this one by skill and subject matter — the places the work would most naturally transfer — with what the register scores them:

Special Effects Artists and Animators COOKED 23/100 (-9) · 73% overlap
Graphic Designers COOKED 27/100 (-5) · 69% overlap
Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators EXPOSED 43/100 (+11) · 68% overlap

That is the whole problem in three lines. The nearest work is not meaningfully safer, so there is no move here that trades a similar skill set for a better verdict. This is not us running out of ideas — it is what the neighbourhood looks like.

What would move this occupation up is the other direction, and on this page it's the more useful one.

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 42/100 — EXPOSED.

3 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening task resistance +4

    Task-mix shift is genuine here: if the assembly/variant/caption tier is fully absorbed by text-based editing and Resolve/Premiere AI, the remaining paid work is long-form structure from unscripted material — documentary and reality story editing, where the job is finding a narrative in 200 hours with no script. Watch whether documentary/story-editor postings hold while assistant editor and social-variant postings vanish; the surviving role scores higher because the routine tier is gone from it.

  • plausible trust premium +3

    Credit and provenance rules that make a named human editor a marketable fact: Motion Picture Editors Guild (IATSE Local 700) pushing AI terms into the 2026 basic agreement round, plus festival/awards eligibility rules (e.g. Academy or Sundance requiring disclosure of generative tools in editorial) so a 'cut by a human editor' credit becomes something buyers of prestige work specifically contract for.

  • plausible judgment accountability +3

    If the editor becomes the accountable verifier of what a generative pipeline produced — signing that no footage was synthetically altered, that consent/release terms were honored, that a documentary subject was not misrepresented by a reframe or splice — the role owns a consequential call. Broadcaster standards departments (BBC editorial guidelines, network S&P) already require a named person to attest to unmanipulated footage in factual programming; extending that attestation formally to editorial AI output would raise this.

The limit. Even with every lever, this occupation is capped well below safe: the ceiling is a much smaller field of long-form story editors on prestige and factual work. Corporate, promo and social editing — the majority of the 25,610 — has no lever at all, because the buyer never wanted a human, only a cut.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 79 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 6,010 $83,210 +10%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 3,430 $104,590 +39%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 740 $109,930 +46%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 560 $91,750 +22%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 430 $88,910 +18%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 410 —
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 390 $60,470 -20%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 360 $61,950 -18%

Best paid

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 740 $109,930 +46%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 3,430 $104,590 +39%
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO 250 $93,600 +24%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $75,420. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this — nobody, on the record

We have no reported case of a named organisation automating this occupation. Not one deployment, not one announcement.

That is worth saying out loud next to a score of 32. The verdict above is about what the work exposes — what current AI could do to these tasks. It is not a claim that anyone has done it. For this occupation those two things have come apart completely: the capability argument is on this page, and the evidence column is empty.

Read that as a gap in the reporting we can see, not proof of absence — the dispatch runs on English-language feeds and misses plenty. If you know of a case, tell us, or add a field report from inside the job.

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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Kept current

Rather than check back: get the digest and we'll tell you what changed — or watch a single occupation from its own page.