← Risk register SOC 13-2054 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Financial Risk Specialists

63,850 US workers · median $117,330/yr · Business

EXPOSED

The daily work — pulling exposure data, running VaR and stress scenarios, writing model documentation, assembling regulatory reporting packages for Basel/CCAR/CECL — is screen-based quantitative and narrative production that current AI already drafts at usable quality with a reviewer. What survives is the accountable layer: defining scenarios that matter, challenging model assumptions in front of a risk committee, and owning the judgment call when the model and the market disagree. Licensure is institutional rather than personal (FRM/CFA help but aren't legally required), so the regulatory shield protects the bank's process, not your specific seat.

10-year outlook: Headcount thins on the reporting and documentation side while the second-line challenge and regulator-facing roles hold or grow — expect fewer analysts producing more coverage, with seniority arriving faster or not at all.

Score — 35/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 7 + 1 + 6 + 8 + 13 = 35.

Task resistance 7/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. At 7 the split is real but lopsided: backtesting, limit monitoring, counterparty exposure aggregation, sensitivity tables and the SR 11-7 model documentation boilerplate are all rules-plus-prose work that tooling handles end-to-end, and only scenario design and the effective-challenge conversation with model risk management resist — enough to keep you above the 6 line, not enough to reach mixed territory.

Embodiment 1/20

Fully desk- and screen-based. A 1 reflects that everything you touch is a data warehouse query, a Python or SAS job, a Bloomberg terminal and a committee deck; the only physical requirement is being in the room for the quarterly risk committee, and that room is increasingly a Zoom call.

Liability shield 6/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. FRM, PRM or CFA are hiring signals rather than legal prerequisites, and when a CCAR submission or CECL reserve is wrong it is the CFO and CRO who attest under Sarbanes-Oxley and to the Fed — a 6 rather than 3 because model owner sign-off and the OCC's expectation of a named independent validator do put your name in an examinable file.

Trust premium 8/20

Some relationship component. An 8 covers the fact that examiners, auditors and the trading desks you police come to know and calibrate to you personally over years of credibility on assumptions, but the deliverable itself — a 10-Q disclosure figure, a limit breach memo — is institutional output that survives your replacement.

Judgment & accountability 13/20

Meaningful discretion. 13 sits at the top of real discretion because you decide which tail scenarios enter the stress suite, when to override a model that is mispricing a regime shift, and how to word a material weakness — high-stakes ambiguous calls, but ones ratified by a committee and a board risk charter rather than owned alone.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: judgment, liability

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.