← Risk register SOC 25-1082 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Library Science Teachers, Postsecondary

3,630 US workers · median $80,340/yr · Education

EXPOSED

The bulk of this job — building syllabi for cataloging and reference courses, recording lecture modules, grading discussion posts and research papers, drafting literature reviews for LIS journals — is text-and-screen work that current models handle at usable quality, and MLIS programs are already among the most online-delivered graduate degrees, which strips away the physical-classroom moat. What persists is thesis and practicum advising, accreditation-facing program design, and the mentorship that pushes students into actual library and archives careers. The bigger threat is demand-side: this is a 3,630-person occupation whose enrollment pipeline depends on library and information-work hiring, and AI pressure on search, cataloging, and reference roles feeds back into program size.

10-year outlook: By the mid-2030s expect fewer, larger consolidated MLIS programs with AI-assisted course delivery and a smaller faculty core whose value is advising, accreditation, and employer relationships rather than lecturing.

US employment, 2019–2025-17.3%
4,3903,630 workers

Most of this decline happened after 2021 — it is not the pandemic dip.

Median pay $71,410 → $80,340 -10.0% in real terms (nominal +12.5%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+3%

Percentage only. The projection counts a different population from the 3,630 above — it includes self-employed workers, which for this occupation is most of them, so the two headcounts are not comparable.

Exposed, but growing

AI can already do a lot of these tasks, and the BLS still expects +3% more of these jobs by 2034. Demand for the output is growing faster than the work is being automated away — the mechanism BLS gives for software developers, and the combination people most often misread as an error.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~400 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 17 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

LecturerProfessorInstructorCollege ProfessorLibrary ProfessorLibrary InstructorAssistant ProfessorAssociate ProfessorCollege Faculty MemberClassification InstructorLibrary Science ProfessorUniversity Faculty MemberInformation Science ProfessorLibrary Technology InstructorFilm and Media Program InstructorMedical Record Librarians TeacherMedical Records Library Professor

Score — 40/100 resistance

Holding it up: trust premium (13/20). Weakest point: liability shield (3/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 9 + 5 + 3 + 13 + 10 = 40. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 9/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier Lecturing on MARC/RDA cataloging rules, building reference-interview exercises, and marking annotated bibliographies are all things a model drafts at passable quality, which is why this sits at 9 rather than mid-teens — the residue that genuinely resists is supervising a student's practicum placement in a live special-collections reading room and chairing capstone committees where you judge whether a project is defensible, not whether it is correct.

Embodiment 5/20

Some physical or field component A 5 reflects the thin physical layer that still exists: hands-on instruction in archival processing, preservation handling, and physical-collection organization, plus site visits to partner libraries for practicum oversight — but the ALA-accredited MLIS is overwhelmingly delivered online, so most of your teaching week is a screen and a Zoom window.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement There is no license to teach library science — the MLIS itself is the credential your students seek, not one you must hold to be personally liable, and ALA program accreditation attaches to the institution's self-study and site visit rather than to you as an individual, so no statute names you when a course goes wrong.

Trust premium 13/20

The human relationship is the product At 13 the relationship carries real weight because LIS hiring runs on faculty referral networks into academic, public, and archival institutions, and your recommendation letter and professional-association introductions are what actually place a graduate — but you are one of several faculty in a small program, not a sole practitioner students follow by name.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion A 10 rather than mid-teens: you exercise genuine discretion on curriculum mapping to ALA core competencies, admissions decisions, and whether a thesis is ready to defend, but the consequences land on a student's timeline and a program review cycle, not on anyone's safety, liberty, or money.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: trust, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: MIT OpenCourseWare — operations management free · Toastmasters — public speaking practice at local clubs worldwide low · Coursera — work planning and personal productivity free to audit · Coursera — teaching and instructional design, audit free free to audit · Khan Academy — physics, chemistry and biology from the ground up free · Coursera — communication and interpersonal skills free to audit

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — occupations you could move toward

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill and knowledge profiles: high overlap with what you already do, a materially higher resistance score, no large jump in required training, and no licence you would have to start a new pipeline to get. Targets that pay meaningfully less, that are themselves COOKED, or whose own headcount is falling are excluded — a move into a shrinking trade is not an escape.

Education Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 50/100 · you already have ~91% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Speaking, Time Management

Social Work Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 56/100 · you already have ~87% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Instructing, Science, Social Perceptiveness

Family and Consumer Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 53/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 56/100, still EXPOSED.

4 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening judgment accountability +4

    If faculty of record are made individually accountable for academic-integrity determinations on AI-assisted student work (the pattern spreading through university honor-code revisions, where an AI-detection flag cannot itself constitute a finding and a named instructor must make the call), plus signing off on practicum placements and site supervisor evaluations, the role owns more consequential, contestable, appealable calls than it does when grading is the core.

  • already happening task resistance +4

    This occupation does have two genuine tiers: the lecture/rubric/discussion-grading tier and the thesis-and-practicum supervision, accreditation self-study, and IRB-facing research-methods tier. If the routine tier is absorbed and headcount is cut rather than backfilled with more sections, the residual job is disproportionately the supervision-and-self-study tier, which current models cannot carry — writing an ALA self-study that a visiting committee accepts requires standing behind institutional claims.

  • plausible liability shield +5

    ALA Committee on Accreditation's 2025 revision of the Standards for Accreditation of Master's Programs already ties program approval to a named, qualified full-time faculty core (Standard III) and to faculty responsibility for curriculum. If the COA adds explicit language that AI-generated or AI-delivered instruction does not count toward required faculty FTE, and that a named faculty member of record must attest to course design and assessment for each required course, the licensed-human-must-sign element becomes real rather than nominal — most state and municipal librarian civil-service lines require the ALA-accredited degree, so the accreditation signature has teeth.

  • plausible trust premium +3

    Narrow but real: employers of archivists and special-collections staff (SAA's Academy of Certified Archivists, and the digital-preservation and rare-books tracks) hire on named-mentor reputation and cohort networks. If iSchools compete on identified faculty and placement pipelines rather than credit-hour price — the way top MLIS programs already market Simmons or UNC faculty by name — students pay for the human relationship, not the content.

The limit. Every lever here raises resistance per remaining job without touching the binding constraint, which is demand-side. A 3,630-person occupation sized by MLIS enrollment, which is sized by library and cataloging hiring, can shrink 30% while each surviving position scores higher. Accreditation moats also protect the program, not the individual line: ALA standards specify faculty adequacy in aggregate, so a department can meet them with fewer, more senior faculty.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 19 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN 220 $78,060 -3%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 170 $101,920 +27%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 90 $99,720 +24%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 80 $126,820 +58%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 70 $109,250 +36%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 60 $62,450 -22%
Greensboro-High Point, NC 60 $78,200 -3%
Knoxville, TN 60 $76,940 -4%

Best paid

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 40 $156,310 +95%
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 30 $129,150 +61%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 50 $129,120 +61%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $80,340. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this — nobody, on the record

We have no reported case of a named organisation automating this occupation. Not one deployment, not one announcement.

That is worth saying out loud next to a score of 40. The verdict above is about what the work exposes — what current AI could do to these tasks. It is not a claim that anyone has done it. For this occupation those two things have come apart completely: the capability argument is on this page, and the evidence column is empty.

Read that as a gap in the reporting we can see, not proof of absence — the dispatch runs on English-language feeds and misses plenty. If you know of a case, tell us, or add a field report from inside the job.

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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Kept current

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