← Risk register SOC 17-2121 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Marine Engineers and Naval Architects

8,250 US workers · median $112,230/yr · Engineering

EXPOSED

Much of the day is CAD modeling, hydrostatic and stability calculations, weight estimates, resistance/powerplant sizing, specification writing and class-rule compliance checks — all of which are increasingly generated or pre-checked by parametric tools plus AI, and naval architecture already runs on heavy computational automation. What resists is the physical side: shipyard construction oversight, sea trials, damage surveys, machinery troubleshooting aboard vessels, and the signed engineering judgment that a hull or propulsion arrangement is safe and class-approvable. Modal worker here is a design-office engineer at a shipyard, design firm, or Navy/NAVSEA organization, where PE stamps, ABS/USCG approval submittals, and personal accountability for safety cases anchor the role.

10-year outlook: The design-calculation and drafting tier thins out sharply while stamped approvals, shipyard oversight, and trials work hold; expect fewer junior seats and a field that concentrates around licensed, yard-facing engineers.

Score — 54/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 10 + 11 + 8 + 14 = 54.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Hull form optimization, hydrostatic and intact/damage stability runs, resistance-powering estimates and weight books are already parametric and largely tool-generated, but shipyard build oversight, sea trial instrumentation and troubleshooting, docking surveys and reverse-engineering legacy machinery on ships with no as-built drawings still require a person on the plating — a roughly even split, which is why it sits at 11 and not in the resistant band with field-only engineering roles.

Embodiment 10/20

Some physical or field component. Most weeks are at a workstation in a design office or NAVSEA code, but the job periodically puts you in drydock, in tanks and voids during survey, on inclining experiments and on builder's/acceptance trials at sea — real confined-space and shipboard exposure, though not the daily uncontrolled-environment work of a marine surveyor or engineering officer, hence 10 rather than 15.

Liability shield 11/20

Licensed human required and personally liable. Approval submittals to ABS/DNV and USCG, and structural or stability calculations released under a PE stamp, place named personal accountability on an individual engineer, but a large share of the workforce — federal civilian naval architects and shipyard design staff working under an approved quality system and industrial exemptions — practices without a licence, which pulls this to 11 instead of the 16+ of professions where no licence means no work.

Trust premium 8/20

Some relationship component. Owners, class societies and program offices buy calculated compliance and drawings that a reviewer checks against rules, not your personality; the 8 reflects genuine repeat relationships with class surveyors, port engineers and fleet owners on refit and new-build programs where knowing the vessel's history has value, but a competitor firm can take the contract on price and schedule.

Judgment & accountability 14/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. You decide whether a damaged-stability case is acceptable, whether a weld or scantling deficiency found during construction is a repair or a redesign, what margins to carry on a first-in-class hull, and whether a vessel is fit for trials — calls made with incomplete data where being wrong sinks ships, which is why this is 14 even though the rulebooks (SOLAS, class rules, Subchapter requirements) constrain the envelope.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: licensure, liability, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~70% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Repairing, Equipment Maintenance, Troubleshooting, Equipment Selection

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers SAFE · 75/100 · you already have ~66% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation, Repairing, Equipment Selection, Troubleshooting

Avionics Technicians SAFE · 71/100 · you already have ~66% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Repairing, Equipment Maintenance, Installation, Troubleshooting

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.