← Risk register SOC 51-8013 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Power Plant Operators

29,320 US workers · median $102,040/yr · Production

EXPOSED

Modal worker here runs a fossil, hydro, or combined-cycle plant from a control room: monitoring SCADA displays, adjusting load and steam parameters, logging readings, and coordinating with dispatch — all of which DCS automation and predictive analytics have been eating for two decades, long before LLMs. What holds is the physical half: field rounds, manual valve and breaker switching, lockout/tagout, startup and shutdown sequences, and diagnosing why a pump is cavitating when instrumentation disagrees with reality. The bigger threat to this occupation isn't AI at all — it's plant retirements and the shift to unstaffed or remotely-operated generation, which is already shrinking headcount per megawatt.

10-year outlook: Headcount keeps falling through the 2030s as coal units retire and new generation runs with thinner crews or remote operation, but the operators who hold field-switching qualifications and NERC certification stay employed and well-paid.

Score — 50/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 14 + 8 + 5 + 12 = 50.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Load-following, setpoint adjustment, and log-keeping are already handled by the DCS with the operator supervising, but the trip-and-recovery work — cold starts, condenser vacuum problems, chasing a bad transmitter against physical evidence — still needs someone in the room, which puts it mid-band rather than in single digits.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Field rounds through turbine halls and boiler decks at 100°F+, hanging LOTO tags, racking breakers, stroking valves by hand when air is lost, and reading local gauges that aren't wired to anything are unavoidable and happen in a plant that is noisy, hot, and pressurized — well past a hybrid control-room job.

Liability shield 8/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. Most fossil and hydro operators hold NERC system-operator certification or a state boiler/turbine operator license and are named on the shift log, but the plant manager and the utility carry the regulatory exposure, so the credential constrains who can hold the seat without making the individual the personal defendant.

Trust premium 5/20

Anonymous artifact production. Dispatch cares about MW delivered and ramp rate, not which operator is on shift; the only relationship that matters is the handoff to the next crew, which is documented in the turnover log precisely so it doesn't depend on the person.

Judgment & accountability 12/20

Meaningful discretion. Deciding to trip a unit versus riding through an abnormal vibration or low drum level is a call worth millions in equipment and it lands on the operator in seconds, but most of those decisions are bounded by written alarm-response procedures and operating limits that specify the action.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, unionization, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Ship Engineers SAFE · 73/100 · you already have ~87% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation, Management of Personnel Resources, Troubleshooting, Repairing

Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~86% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation

Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~86% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Personnel Resources, Repairing, Troubleshooting, Science

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.