← Risk register SOC 39-9032 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Recreation Workers

331,490 US workers · median $36,560/yr · Personal Care

EXPOSED

The core of this job — leading a game of kickball, running a summer camp group, supervising a pool deck, coaxing a shy nine-year-old into the craft circle, calming a dispute between teenagers — is physical, social, and improvisational, and nothing in current AI or robotics touches it. What AI does absorb is the paperwork layer: activity schedules, program flyers, registration processing, attendance and incident write-ups, grant blurbs and parent newsletters. The real threats to this occupation are municipal and nonprofit budget cycles and low wages, not automation; the modal worker here is a part-time camp or community-center leader, not a program director.

10-year outlook: Ten years out the job still exists in gyms, pools, camps, and senior centers largely unchanged in substance, with the clipboard-and-flyer half of the week compressed — the pressure on headcount will come from public budgets, not from software.

Score — 64/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 16 + 18 + 5 + 14 + 11 = 64.

Task resistance 16/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. How much of the day-to-day work current AI already does at usable quality.

Embodiment 18/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. Physical work in unpredictable environments. Robotics lags language models badly.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. Is a licensed human legally required to sign, and personally liable if it goes wrong?

Trust premium 14/20

The human relationship is the product. Do buyers specifically pay for a human — presence, care, accountability?

Judgment & accountability 11/20

Meaningful discretion. Does the role own consequential calls made with incomplete information?

This verdict was revised after a second scoring. Two independent runs of the same rubric returned 67/100 and 60/100. The score above is their average, and the change of label held whichever way the rounding went — so it reflects the two runs genuinely disagreeing with the first published number, not a rounding artefact.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence, trust

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.