← Risk register SOC 13-1011 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Agents and Business Managers of Artists, Performers, and Athletes

12,620 US workers · median $82,890/yr · Business

EXPOSED

The paperwork half of this job — drafting standard performance contracts, building tour and audition schedules, preparing royalty and appearance-fee summaries, writing pitch emails and press one-sheets, scanning casting notices — is already commodity AI work. What does not automate is the phone call where a promoter is talked off a ledge, the read on whether a client should take the lower-paying prestige role, and the fact that talent signs with a specific person they trust with their career and money. Talent-agency licensing (California, New York) and athlete-agent registration under the UAAA plus union franchising give a real but partial regulatory floor.

10-year outlook: Rosters per agent grow as AI absorbs booking and contract admin, so headcount stays flat or thins while the deal-making, client-holding tier keeps its income.

Score — 59/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 7 + 9 + 17 + 15 = 59.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Roughly half your week — deal memos on standard AFTRA/SAG scale terms, tour routing spreadsheets, commission reconciliations, submission blasts to casting — is templated enough that software already does it, but negotiating a back-end point with a studio business affairs exec or convincing a label to fund a video keeps this at 11 rather than 5.

Embodiment 7/20

Some physical or field component. You are on a phone and in email most of the day, but the job still drags you to showcases, tryouts, set visits, arena green rooms and airports on someone else's schedule — present but not the substance of the work, which is why this sits at 7 rather than 3.

Liability shield 9/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. California Labor Code 1700 talent agency licensing, New York employment-agency licensing, UAAA athlete-agent registration and SAG-AFTRA/WGA franchise agreements mean the state can pull your ability to solicit work and clients can void contracts — but there's no exam-gated professional credential, no personal malpractice exposure on a bad negotiation, and unlicensed managers work the same clients daily, so 9 not 15.

Trust premium 17/20

The human relationship is the product. Clients follow the individual agent out the door when they change agencies — the roster is personally owned, built over years of taking 3am calls and knowing which family members to keep away from the money — and at 17 this is close to the ceiling for a job where the person, not the firm's brand, is what got signed.

Judgment & accountability 15/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. You decide whether a 19-year-old signs the endorsement now or waits for the draft, whether to burn a relationship with a promoter over one bad settlement, and whether to tell a client their career window is closing — irreversible calls on someone else's livelihood with no procedure to fall back on, held just under the top band because you advise rather than execute the final signature.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: trust, judgment, licensure

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.