← Risk register SOC 19-4012 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Agricultural Technicians

15,130 US workers · median $49,630/yr · Science

EXPOSED

The modal ag tech splits time between field plots/greenhouses/labs — laying out trial blocks, tagging plants, pulling soil cores, running tissue and seed assays, calibrating instruments — and a screen tier of data entry, spreadsheet cleanup, and routine report writing that AI plus sensor networks eats first. Sampling and instrument handling in muddy, variable field conditions still needs hands and legs, but no license protects the role and the scientist above signs off on the science. Drone imagery, in-line soil sensors, and automated plate readers shrink the headcount needed per acre of trial rather than eliminating the job.

10-year outlook: The job persists but thins: sensors and automated scoring absorb the data-collection and reporting hours, leaving a smaller corps of technicians who plant trials, run and fix instruments, and ground-truth the machines.

Score — 40/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 14 + 3 + 5 + 7 = 40.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Hand-thinning a variety trial, tagging individual plants for phenotyping, and pulling soil cores on a grid still need a person walking the plot, but the yield-data transcription, plate-reader output cleanup, and standard-format trial reports are already machine work — that split is what puts it at 11 rather than 15.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are in mud, greenhouses at 95°F, and grain bins on the same week, hauling augers and sample bags across uneven ground and handling live plant material and pesticide-treated plots — uncontrolled outdoor work, though the lab bench and instrument room half of the job keeps it off the 18-plus ladder-and-livestock tier.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licenses agricultural technicians; a pesticide applicator card or a two-year ag degree may be listed as preferred, and even the GLP-relevant signature on a trial record belongs to the study director above you, so the 3 reflects credentials that help you get hired but shield nothing.

Trust premium 5/20

Anonymous artifact production. Your soil nitrate numbers and germination counts are read as data, not as your data — the seed company or extension scientist consuming them can swap technicians between seasons without any loss, and the 5 rather than 0 only covers the working familiarity with cooperating growers whose fields host the plots.

Judgment & accountability 7/20

Meaningful discretion. Trials come with a written protocol specifying plot layout, sampling depth, and replication, so your discretion is real but bounded — deciding a plot is compromised by flooding and flagging it, or calling an instrument out of calibration mid-run, are the calls you own, and the protocol deviation still goes upstairs for approval.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~68% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operation and Control, Operations Monitoring, Equipment Maintenance, Repairing

Plant and System Operators, All Other EXPOSED · 57/100 · you already have ~67% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Quality Control Analysis, Equipment Maintenance, Operations Monitoring, Operation and Control

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers EXPOSED · 62/100 · you already have ~63% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Financial Resources, Management of Personnel Resources, Management of Material Resources, Quality Control Analysis

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.