← Risk register SOC 11-9072 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling

37,980 US workers · median $79,520/yr · Management

EXPOSED

The modal worker runs a physical venue — a water park, campground, fitness center, ski area, event hall — walking the floor, opening and closing, handling guest incidents, and directing a mostly part-time, high-turnover staff. AI already eats the back-office half: staff scheduling, budget tracking, ticketing reports, marketing copy, vendor emails, attendance forecasting. What survives is on-site safety accountability, live crisis calls during an incident or weather closure, and being the person who hires, fires, and motivates a seasonal crew.

10-year outlook: Headcount holds roughly flat but the job narrows toward floor presence, safety liability, and people management as scheduling, forecasting, and guest-service admin get absorbed by software.

Score — 56/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 12 + 14 + 5 + 11 + 14 = 56.

Task resistance 12/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. At 12 rather than 8, the split is roughly even: labor scheduling against forecasted gate, P&L variance reports, season-pass pricing, party-booking confirmations and Facebook promos are already largely software-driven, but nothing digital walks the pool deck at close, runs the lightning-evacuation of a 400-person water park, or talks down a parent whose kid got hurt on the inflatable — and those are the tasks that define whether the day went well.

Embodiment 14/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. A 14 reflects that the job is spent in the venue itself — lift lines, campground loops, locker rooms, the ropes course — inspecting attractions before opening, checking chlorine logs and ride restraints, and responding on foot to incidents in weather you don't control; it stops short of 18 because a real share of the week is budget, payroll and vendor work done sitting at a desk in the office behind the front counter.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. A 5 is right because the credentials involved — CPR/first aid, Certified Pool Operator, food-handler, sometimes a ski-patrol or lifeguard-instructor card — are operational requirements the employer can staff around, and when an injury claim lands it is the LLC and its insurer named, not you personally holding a license a board can pull.

Trust premium 11/20

Some relationship component. An 11 comes from the fact that the returning-family relationship attaches to the place and the seasonal staff more than to the manager's name, but your standing with the youth-league commissioner, the corporate event planner who rebooks annually, and the 19-year-olds who decide whether to show up for a 6am shift is a real asset that does not transfer with a personnel change.

Judgment & accountability 14/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. A 14 is earned by the calls with no procedure to hide behind: closing the slides on marginal weather and eating the revenue, deciding an intoxicated guest leaves, judging whether a head-injury report goes to EMS and the insurer, and firing a popular staffer mid-season — each made in minutes, alone, with the incident report bearing your signature.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, judgment, trust

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Structured problem solving partner link

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Special Education Teachers, Secondary School SAFE · 73/100 · you already have ~73% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Learning Strategies, Science, Instructing, Complex Problem Solving

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.