← Risk register SOC 53-7073 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Wellhead Pumpers

17,990 US workers · median $69,960/yr · Transportation

EXPOSED

The hands-on half of this job — driving lease roads, gauging tanks, changing pump packing, clearing paraffin, adjusting chokes and rod pumps, responding to a down well at 2am — is nowhere near automatable. The threat isn't AI replacing the pumper; it's SCADA, remote automation and AI-assisted production surveillance shrinking the number of pumpers needed per route, since the daily gauge sheets, run tickets, production reports and anomaly-spotting are exactly what sensors plus software now do. Expect fewer, more technical pumpers covering far bigger routes rather than the role disappearing.

10-year outlook: Wells keep needing someone with hands and a truck, but remote monitoring will keep stretching routes — expect headcount to drift down while the surviving jobs look more like lift-optimization and instrumentation techs.

Score — 44/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 12 + 17 + 3 + 4 + 8 = 44.

Task resistance 12/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. At 12 rather than 16, roughly half a pumper's shift — the tank gauging, chart changing, run-ticket writing, daily production entry and spotting a well that's off its curve — is already being handled by level sensors, coriolis meters and SCADA alarms on newer pads, while the wrench work (pulling and repacking a stuffing box, hot-oiling a paraffined tubing string, resetting a pumping unit's counterbalance) still needs a person on the lease.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. A 17 reflects that the work is performed outdoors on unimproved lease roads in whatever the weather does, climbing tank stairs to gauge with a steel tape, opening separators and treaters, working around H2S, live electrical on unit motors and pressurized flowlines — none of it in a controlled or repeatable setting, which is what keeps it out of the 13-14 range and short of 19 only because the pumper also spends real time in a truck cab and on a tablet.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. A 3 is right because no state licences a wellhead pumper — you may hold H2S awareness, SafeLandUSA or a CDL for hauling, but the operator's engineering staff and the well's designated person of record carry the regulatory obligation to the state commission, and a bad gauge or a missed leak becomes the company's violation, not yours.

Trust premium 4/20

Anonymous artifact production. At 4, the gauge sheet that reaches the production office is anonymous data — the operator cares that the barrels reconcile, not which pumper wrote them — and the only relationships with any pull are the surface-owner rancher whose gate you close and the pumper who covers your days off.

Judgment & accountability 8/20

Meaningful discretion. An 8 fits calls that are real but bounded: deciding whether a knocking gearbox runs until morning or gets shut in now, whether a fluid-level shot means the well is pumped off or the pump is worn, when to call out a pulling unit — genuine discretion, but escalated to a foreman or engineer before anything expensive happens, which keeps it out of the mid-teens.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Crane and Tower Operators SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Active Learning, Coordination, Operations Analysis

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Operations Analysis, Service Orientation

Maintenance Workers, Machinery EXPOSED · 63/100 · you already have ~81% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation, Coordination, Quality Control Analysis, Equipment Maintenance

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.