← Risk register SOC 17-2011 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Aerospace Engineers

67,710 US workers · median $134,960/yr · Engineering

EXPOSED

The modal aerospace engineer spends most of the day in CAD, CFD/FEA setup and post-processing, trade studies, requirements documents, and test-report writing — all work AI is rapidly compressing, especially parametric sweeps and boilerplate certification paperwork. What holds is physical test and integration (wind tunnel, hardware-in-the-loop, flight test), and above all accountability for airworthiness and safety-of-flight decisions where a wrong call kills people. Licensure is a weak moat because the industrial exemption means most aerospace engineers never stamp anything, though FAA DER/ODA delegated sign-off authority is a genuine and narrower shield.

10-year outlook: Headcount per program likely falls as AI absorbs analysis and documentation, while demand concentrates on certification-authority holders, test engineers, and integration leads who carry safety accountability.

Score — 48/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 7 + 8 + 7 + 15 = 48.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Parametric CAD updates, meshing, CFD/FEA run setup, load-case sweeps, mass-properties bookkeeping and DO-178C/ARP4754 traceability matrices are already being generated or auto-populated by tools, while anomaly resolution during integration, wind-tunnel and flight-test campaigns, and structural test correlation still require an engineer physically reasoning against unexpected data — that split of roughly two-thirds compressible desk output to one-third stubborn empirical work lands it at 11, not in the resistant band.

Embodiment 7/20

Some physical or field component. A 7 reflects that the job is fundamentally screen-based — most weeks never leave the desk — but includes recurring hangar, cleanroom, static-test-rig and tunnel time, walking hardware with technicians during first-article inspection or chasing a fastener interference on the assembly floor, which is more physical presence than a systems analyst and far less than the A&P mechanic doing the actual torqueing.

Liability shield 8/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. An 8 is set by the industrial exemption: Boeing, Lockheed and SpaceX engineers overwhelmingly hold no PE and their names never appear on a stamped drawing, with liability sitting on the company's type certificate — the points come only from the minority holding FAA DER, ODA unit member, or Authorized Representative status where a signed 8110-3 is personally attributable.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component. At 7 the deliverable is a drawing package, ICD or stress report that survives review on its technical merit regardless of author, but sustained credibility with the FAA ACO, a customer's chief engineer, or a program's Configuration Control Board is what gets a deviation or waiver accepted quickly — relationship as lubricant, not as product.

Judgment & accountability 15/20

Exists to be accountable for ambiguous calls. 15 is earned by calls with no procedural answer: signing off a fatigue life extension on a spar, accepting a nonconformance as use-as-is, judging whether a failed acceptance vibration test invalidates the unit, or being the engineer who says the margin is adequate to fly — decisions where the failure mode is fatalities and the record of that judgment is read out in an NTSB or mishap board.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: judgment, liability

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Civil Engineers EXPOSED · 63/100 · you already have ~80% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Material Resources, Management of Financial Resources, Operation and Control, Time Management

Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~79% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Material Resources, Equipment Selection, Management of Financial Resources, Operation and Control

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.