← Risk register SOC 19-1011 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Animal Scientists

3,100 US workers · median $68,940/yr · Science

EXPOSED

A large slice of the job — literature reviews, ration formulation runs, statistical analysis of trial data, grant and journal writing, extension bulletins — is exactly the text-and-tabular work AI now does at usable quality. What holds is the physical half: designing and running feeding, breeding, and reproduction trials in barns and feedlots, collecting samples, handling animals, and owning the call on whether a genetics or nutrition program goes to producers. No license protects the title, so the moat is embodiment and accountability for real herds, not regulation.

10-year outlook: The occupation stays small and stable, but the analysis-and-writing share of the workday collapses; the animal scientists still hired in 2035 will be the ones physically running trials and signing off on herd-level recommendations.

US employment, 2019–2025+15.2%
2,6903,100 workers

Headcount grew steadily across the period.

Median pay $60,300 → $68,940 -8.5% in real terms (nominal +14.3%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+5.8% 2,800 → 2,900 on the projections basis

Growing, and only partly exposed

The BLS expects +5.8% more of these jobs by 2034, and at 46/100 the work is only partly exposed — some tasks are automatable, the core of the job is not. Nothing here is in tension.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~200 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 24 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

ScientistBehavioristSericulturistBacteriologistDairy ScientistAnimal AnatomistAnimal BiologistAnimal ScientistSwine SpecialistAnimal GeneticistNutrition PartnerPoultry ScientistAnimal BehavioristResearch ScientistSwine NutritionistAnimal NutritionistDairy BacteriologistNutrition SpecialistBeef Cattle SpecialistBeef Cattle NutritionistSwine Genetics ResearcherDairy Nutrition ConsultantDairy Nutrition SpecialistAnimal Nutrition Consultant

Score — 46/100 resistance

Holding it up: embodiment (12/20). Weakest point: liability shield (3/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 11 + 12 + 3 + 8 + 12 = 46. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 11/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier Ration balancing against NRC requirement tables, ANOVA/mixed-model runs on trial data, and drafting extension bulletins are already handled well by software plus an LLM, but designing a 90-day feeding trial with valid pen replication, walking the barn to spot a lame heifer skewing intake data, and collecting blood, semen, or rumen fluid still require a person on site — hence mid-band 11 rather than the 14+ of work that cannot be moved to a screen.

Embodiment 12/20

Some physical or field component You are in feedlots, farrowing houses, and research dairies with restraint chutes, AI guns, ultrasound wands, and manure underfoot, but the sample then goes to a controlled lab bench and much of the year is spent on analysis and writing — a split that lands at 12, above a screen-only analyst and below the veterinarian or herdsman whose whole day is hands on live animals.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement There is no license to practice animal science: a PhD and ARPAS or ANSI board certification are resume assets, not statutory gates, and when a nutrition program goes to producers it is the feed company, the veterinarian of record, or the IACUC that carries the legal exposure — 3 reflects that IACUC protocol authorship is the only place your name binds anything.

Trust premium 8/20

Some relationship component Producers, feed-company clients, and breed associations do keep coming back to the specific scientist whose ration or sire-selection advice worked on their operation, but the deliverable is a peer-reviewed paper, a spec sheet, or a trial report that stands on its numbers regardless of who signed it, so 8 sits above anonymous output and well below the relationship-is-the-product tier.

Judgment & accountability 12/20

Meaningful discretion Deciding that a genomic selection index or a transition-cow diet is ready to release to commercial herds — where a wrong call costs thousands of animals and a client's season — is a genuinely ambiguous high-stakes judgment, but much of it is bounded by NRC requirement tables, established statistical protocols, and IACUC review, which caps this at 12 rather than the 15+ of someone with no external checkpoint.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: embodiment, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: Coursera — teaching and instructional design, audit free free to audit · Learning How to Learn — the most-taken course on Coursera, and free free to audit · Coursera — customer service and client-facing skill courses free to audit · Coursera — communication and interpersonal skills free to audit · MIT OpenCourseWare — finance and accounting free · Apprenticeship.gov — industrial maintenance and millwright programs paid to train · Apprenticeship.gov — paid, employer-sponsored trade apprenticeships, searchable by trade and ZIP paid to train · Coursera — engineering and procurement courses, auditable without paying free to audit

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — occupations you could move toward

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill and knowledge profiles: high overlap with what you already do, a materially higher resistance score, no large jump in required training, and no licence you would have to start a new pipeline to get. Targets that pay meaningfully less, that are themselves COOKED, or whose own headcount is falling are excluded — a move into a shrinking trade is not an escape.

Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary EXPOSED · 56/100 · you already have ~74% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Instructing, Learning Strategies

Dietitians and Nutritionists EXPOSED · 65/100 · you already have ~70% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Service Orientation, Social Perceptiveness, Instructing, Management of Financial Resources

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers EXPOSED · 62/100 · you already have ~54% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Equipment Maintenance, Repairing, Equipment Selection, Management of Financial Resources

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 66/100, still EXPOSED.

6 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening task resistance +4

    Routine tier (lit review, stats runs, ration solver, extension copy) automates away, leaving trial design under confounded field conditions, gene-editing and genomic-selection program calls, and diagnosing why a herd trial failed — a genuine two-tier occupation where the residual is the judgment tier

  • plausible liability shield +5

    FDA CVM guidance or AAFCO model feed regulation requiring a named, credentialed animal nutritionist (e.g., ACAN/ARPAS-certified) to sign off on commercial ration formulations and feed additive claims — analogous to the PE stamp — with personal attestation that AI-generated formulations were reviewed; also USDA/IACUC rules naming a responsible animal scientist for AI-designed trial protocols

  • plausible embodiment +3

    Growth of on-farm precision-livestock and gene-editing validation work requiring in-barn sample collection, surgical/reproductive procedures, and phenotyping that sensor rigs cannot yet substitute; unpredictable animal handling keeps this floor high

  • plausible judgment accountability +3

    Antibiotic-free, welfare-audit (GAP, FARM program) and gene-edited-animal approval regimes naming an individual scientist as accountable for herd-level program decisions and audit defense

  • plausible trust premium +2

    Breed associations and large integrators contracting named scientists for genetic-evaluation credibility, where producers pay for a person who will stand behind an EPD or sire recommendation

  • unlikely liability shield +3

    State veterinary practice act amendments (several boards have contested nutrition/reproduction consulting scope) explicitly carving nutrition and embryo-transfer program design to licensed vets or registered animal scientists, creating a signature requirement where none exists

The limit. Tiny occupation (3,100) heavily embedded in land-grant universities and feed companies; if extension and ag-research budgets shrink, headcount falls regardless of dimension scores. No licensure protects the title today, so the liability lever is the only large one and it depends on a feed-regulation change that has no active bill.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 9 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

Madison, WI 220 $84,310 +22%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 160 $82,810 +20%
Lincoln, NE 100 $79,410 +15%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 60 $77,880 +13%
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 40 $63,740 -8%
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR 40 $240,370 +249%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 40 $76,530 +11%
Omaha, NE-IA 40 $73,740 +7%

Best paid

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR 40 $240,370 +249%
Madison, WI 220 $84,310 +22%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 160 $82,810 +20%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $68,940. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this — nobody, on the record

We have no reported case of a named organisation automating this occupation. Not one deployment, not one announcement.

That is worth saying out loud next to a score of 46. The verdict above is about what the work exposes — what current AI could do to these tasks. It is not a claim that anyone has done it. For this occupation those two things have come apart completely: the capability argument is on this page, and the evidence column is empty.

Read that as a gap in the reporting we can see, not proof of absence — the dispatch runs on English-language feeds and misses plenty. If you know of a case, tell us, or add a field report from inside the job.

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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