← Risk register SOC 35-2014 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Cooks, Restaurant

1,409,890 US workers · median $37,390/yr · Food

EXPOSED

Almost nothing a line cook does during service is text or screen work — you are breaking down proteins, working multiple pans on a hot line, adjusting seasoning by taste, and calling timing across a ticket rail in a cramped, chaotic space that today's robotics cannot handle. The real threat is not language AI but capital: central-kitchen prepped components, sous-vide and combi programs, and single-task fry/grill robots that let a restaurant run the same menu with fewer bodies. There is no license protecting the job and, for the modal line cook, the diner never knows your name, so the count of cooks per restaurant compresses even as the craft persists.

10-year outlook: Restaurant cooks will still be cooking in 2035, but chains and mid-market operators will run leaner lines on pre-prepped components and programmed equipment, pushing wage growth and job security toward cooks who do scratch technique, butchery, and line leadership.

Score — 57/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 17 + 19 + 3 + 9 + 9 = 57.

Task resistance 17/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Butchering a case of chicken thighs, tasting a sauce for acid balance, and re-firing a table's entrees to land together at the pass are physical, sensory, judgment-under-time tasks with no digital analogue — the 17 rather than 20 reflects that recipe scaling, portion specs, and prep lists have already moved off the cook's head and onto printed sheets and back-office software.

Embodiment 19/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You stand ten to twelve hours in 100°F+ line heat, moving between flat-top, fryer, and walk-in, handling knives and boiling stock in a space too tight for two people to pass — the 19 is because the kitchen is at least a fixed, mapped room, unlike roofing or field repair.

Liability shield 3/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licenses a line cook; the food handler card is a few hours of training and the health-code citation lands on the operator's permit and the certified food protection manager, not on you, so nothing legally requires a human in your specific position.

Trust premium 9/20

Some relationship component. Regulars may come back for the food, but the ticket comes through a server and an expo window — you are credited at 9 rather than 4 because a station cook who knows the chef's standards and the kitchen's timing is expensive to replace mid-season, and at 9 rather than 15 because that value accrues to the restaurant, not to a customer relationship you own.

Judgment & accountability 9/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide when the pork is done by feel, whether that batch of stock gets pulled, and how to re-sequence six tickets when a table sends something back — real calls, but made inside a menu, plate spec, and cost target set by the chef, which is what keeps it at 9 instead of the 14+ of someone who owns the menu and the food cost.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.