← Risk register SOC 53-7031 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Dredge Operators

1,040 US workers · median $49,640/yr · Transportation

EXPOSED

Dredge operators sit in a cab or wheelhouse running cutterheads, drag arms, winches and spud positioning while reading depth soundings and current — physical work on unstable water in weather no robot handles reliably today. But the screen-facing half of the job is exactly what automates: GPS/RTK dredge guidance, automated cut-profile following, tonnage and production logging, and semi-autonomous cutter suction control are already commercial and shrink the number of operators per hull. The modal worker is a crew member on a marine construction or sand-and-gravel job, credentialed for the vessel rather than personally licensed for the dredging decisions.

10-year outlook: By the mid-2030s expect fewer operators per dredge as guidance and cut-following automate, with the surviving jobs going to credentialed levermen who can also maintain the plant and handle debris, congestion, and weather calls on the water.

Score — 53/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 14 + 17 + 8 + 4 + 10 = 53.

Task resistance 14/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Trimble/HYPACK dredge guidance and automated cut-profile following already handle the pay-line tracking, but nobody has automated feeling the cutterhead load through the ladder, clearing a rag or cobble jam, resetting spuds and anchor wires in a running current, or working a swinging drag arm in chop — which is why this lands at 14 and not 18: the plotting is gone, the hull-handling is not.

Embodiment 17/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You work on a floating hull that pitches, in weather, with high-pressure discharge line, wire under tension, winches, and a cutterhead that can be pulled up for tooth changes — an uncontrolled marine environment where a slip means overboard, so 17 rather than the low teens reserved for jobs where the physical part is occasional site visits.

Liability shield 8/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. There is no dredge operator licence; you may carry a USCG credential for the vessel, an MSHA Part 46/48 card on a sand-and-gravel operation, or nothing at all beyond employer sign-off, and when a dredge cuts outside the permitted template or hits a pipeline it is the contractor and the permit holder answering to the Corps of Engineers — 8, not 3, because those vessel and mine-safety cards are real gates on who gets in the cab.

Trust premium 4/20

Anonymous artifact production. The client sees a survey plot and a cubic-yard count, not you; the channel is either cut to grade or it isn't, and if you leave the job the next operator sits down on the same hull with the same DGPS setup — the 4 reflects that a superintendent knows which operators keep production up, and that's the whole of the relationship.

Judgment & accountability 10/20

Meaningful discretion. You decide swing speed, cut thickness and when to pull off a hard bottom or slack the wires before a passing wake, and you're the one who notices sand slurry going to water and shuts down before you burn a pump — real calls with money attached, but bounded by a dredging plan, a permitted template and a super on the radio, which is why 10 rather than the mid-teens of someone who owns the cut design.

Confidence: medium · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence, judgment

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Structural Iron and Steel Workers SAFE · 68/100 · you already have ~73% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation, Service Orientation, Coordination, Active Learning

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.