← Risk register SOC 13-1161 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists

899,580 US workers · median $78,760/yr · Business

COOKED

The modal worker in this title spends the day writing survey instruments, cleaning and cross-tabbing response data, pulling competitor and category summaries, building dashboards, and turning it all into slide decks and campaign performance write-ups — exactly the text-and-table work generative models already do at usable quality and near-zero marginal cost. There is no license, no signature, no physical component, and the client rarely buys the person rather than the deck. What survives sits in the thin upper tier: framing which question is actually worth answering, moderating live qualitative work, and standing behind a recommendation that reallocates real budget.

10-year outlook: Expect headcount to compress sharply at the junior report-producing tier while a smaller senior cohort of research designers and executive-facing advisors keeps its pay and gains leverage.

US employment, 2019–2025+32.6%
678,500899,580 workers

Headcount grew steadily across the period.

Median pay $63,790 → $78,760 -1.2% in real terms (nominal +23.5%, less ~25% US inflation over the period)

The job count is not the verdict

This line is counted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the one figure on this page that isn't a judgement of ours. Headcount moves on demand, offshoring, demographics and the business cycle, and automation is one term among several, often not the loudest.

So a falling line is not evidence that AI did it, and a rising one is not evidence that it won't. Both happen in this register: some occupations resist automation and shrink anyway, others are highly automatable and keep growing. The marked year is 2020.

BLS projection, 2024–2034

+6.7% 941,700 → 1,004,700 on the projections basis

Exposed, but growing

AI can already do a lot of these tasks, and the BLS still expects +6.7% more of these jobs by 2034. Demand for the output is growing faster than the work is being automated away — the mechanism BLS gives for software developers, and the combination people most often misread as an error.

Different clocks. The score is what current AI could do to this work today. The projection is how many of these jobs will exist in 2034. Everything between the two — how fast employers actually adopt, whether demand grows in the meantime — is why they can point opposite ways without either being wrong.

~87,200 openings a year on average, including replacing people who leave.

One email if this score changes. Watch as many occupations as you like from the same address — no account, and nothing is sent on a schedule, only when a verdict actually moves.

Also known as — 24 job titles this covers

Titles reported by people doing this work, from the US Department of Labor's O*NET survey. If your job title is here, this page is about your work even though the name doesn't match.

MarketerStrategistWeb AnalystTrade AnalystEvent MarketerMarket AnalystSearch ManagerWeb ConsultantDigital MarketerInternet AnalystSearch AssociateTrade SpecialistMarket ResearcherMarketing AnalystSearch ConsultantSearch SpecialistSearch StrategistDigital StrategistAdvertising AnalystDemographic AnalystMarketing AssociatePaid Search ManagerMarketing ConsultantMarketing Forecaster

Score — 28/100 resistance

Holding it up: judgment & accountability (9/20). Weakest point: liability shield (2/20).

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 6 + 4 + 2 + 7 + 9 = 28. · Scored 2026-08-11, and re-examined when evidence accumulates rather than on a schedule.

Task resistance 6/20

Core tasks are already automatable Writing Likert batteries, running cross-tabs and significance tests in SPSS or Qualtrics, scraping Nielsen/Mintel category reports into a competitive summary, and assembling the monthly campaign performance deck are all text-and-table transformations an LLM plus a BI connector now does end-to-end, which is why this sits at 6 rather than mid-band — the residual manual work (recruiting and moderating a focus group, negotiating a panel vendor's incidence rate) is a minority of the modal week, not half of it.

Embodiment 4/20

Fully desk- and screen-based A 4 rather than a 0 reflects the occasional in-person duty — intercept interviews at a store entrance, sitting behind the glass at a facility, shop-alongs and IHUT setup — but the deliverable is produced entirely on a laptop, and most fielding is now online panel.

Liability shield 2/20

No licence, no signature requirement No state licence, no board, no statutory signature; the Insights Association's PRC credential and the MRS certificate are resume decoration that no client contract requires, and when a segmentation study leads a brand into a failed launch the exposure is the agency's contract and the CMO's job, not the analyst's — hence 2, not the 5-10 band where certification actually gates the work.

Trust premium 7/20

Some relationship component A 7 acknowledges that a client-side research lead builds a real multi-year relationship with a brand team and gets called before decisions are framed, but the modal analyst's output is a deck circulated under an agency logo and RFP'd against two competitors on cost per complete, so the relationship travels with the account, not the individual.

Judgment & accountability 9/20

Meaningful discretion The 9 covers genuine discretion — deciding a low-incidence B2B sample doesn't support the claim leadership wants, choosing a k-means solution over latent class, calling a lift result noise rather than signal — but the analyst recommends and the brand or product owner decides, and much of the day runs on established methodology and tracker rules rather than unprecedented calls.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

What this job involves — and which parts are yours

The verdict above describes this occupation as a whole. Almost nobody does the typical version of a job — tick what's actually in your week and see how your own mix sits.

AI already does these at usable quality

These still need a person

Active moats on the surviving side: judgment, trust

How to future-proof this job

Training paths for your skill gaps: MIT OpenCourseWare — finance and accounting free · MIT OpenCourseWare — operations management free · Coursera — communication and interpersonal skills free to audit · Coursera — negotiation courses, audit free free to audit · Coursera — negotiation, influence and persuasion courses free to audit · Coursera — project coordination and cross-team delivery free to audit

All 35 skills ranked by how many jobs they open →

Where this experience transfers — occupations you could move toward

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill and knowledge profiles: high overlap with what you already do, a materially higher resistance score, no large jump in required training, and no licence you would have to start a new pipeline to get. Targets that pay meaningfully less, that are themselves COOKED, or whose own headcount is falling are excluded — a move into a shrinking trade is not an escape.

Marketing Managers EXPOSED · 40/100 · you already have ~80% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Financial Resources, Operations Analysis, Social Perceptiveness, Negotiation

Fundraisers EXPOSED · 42/100 · you already have ~77% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Negotiation, Management of Financial Resources, Persuasion, Coordination

Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents EXPOSED · 51/100 · you already have ~77% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Management of Financial Resources

What would move this back up — beyond any one person

The moves above are yours to make. This is the other half: what would have to change in the world for the occupation itself to score higher. None of it is in any one person's gift, but it is where the floor actually comes from. Scores here are not a one-way ratchet. Only two of the five dimensions — task resistance and embodiment — track what machines can do. The other three track law, what buyers will pay for, and who is answerable, and those move in both directions, often in response to the same pressure AI creates. If every lever below landed, this occupation would score around 43/100 — EXPOSED.

6 specific changes that would raise this score
  • already happening task resistance +3

    Task-mix shift: once cross-tabs, dashboard building and deck drafting are fully automated, the residual role is research design (what question is worth asking, sampling frame validity) plus live qualitative moderation — IDIs, focus groups, ethnography — where respondent rapport and real-time probing are not yet substitutable. This raises task_resistance only for the minority who actually hold those tasks; the modal cross-tab analyst has no such tier to retreat into.

  • plausible liability shield +3

    FTC substantiation enforcement is the only live route: if advertisers face penalties for unsubstantiated claims backed by synthetic or AI-generated survey data, a named human researcher may have to attest to methodology in the substantiation file. Analogous to the existing requirement that Nielsen/MRC-accredited audience measurement be human-audited (MRC accreditation already requires named auditors).

  • plausible judgment accountability +3

    If the role is redefined so the analyst owns the go/no-go on product launch or budget reallocation rather than supplying inputs to a marketing director who owns it — i.e. absorbs a slice of the brand-manager decision as that layer thins — accountability rises. Depends entirely on org design, not on the occupation itself.

  • plausible task resistance +2

    If synthetic-respondent panels (Synthetic Users, Evidenza, and similar) get publicly caught producing a bad category read, buyers may demand human-verified sampling and fielding audits — bot-detection, panel fraud review, incidence validation — which is judgment-heavy nuisance work AI cannot self-certify.

  • plausible liability shield +2

    If state privacy regimes (CPRA, Colorado AIA) or the EU AI Act's profiling provisions require a named human to sign off on data protection impact assessments for consumer segmentation models, some analysts inherit an attestation duty.

  • plausible trust premium +2

    Narrow route only: Insights Association / ESOMAR certification plus a client-side procurement rule requiring disclosure of whether respondents were human. Some buyers already write 'no synthetic respondents' into MSAs. This buys a premium for the fielding and qualitative side, not for the analyst who writes the deck.

The limit. Even with every lever firing, this stays in the 40s. There is no license to capture, no physical component, and the deliverable is text and tables. The liability and trust routes attach to fielding and methodology attestation — a small subspecialty — not to the ~900k modal workers who cross-tab and build decks. Nothing here rescues that majority.

These are conditions, not forecasts — what would have to happen, not what will. Specific rules, cases and bills are named so you can go and check whether they exist and where they stand; verify before relying on any of them. Nothing here is legal or financial advice.

Where this work is, and what it pays there

BLS metro figures for 387 areas. The verdict above does not change by city — the rubric judges what the work involves, not where it happens — but pay and headcount do, and the national median hides a very wide range.

Most of these jobs

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 79,290 $100,520 +28%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 39,390 $82,990 +5%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 32,310 $102,390 +30%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN 30,970 $80,400 +2%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 24,120 $123,250 +56%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 21,090 $87,160 +11%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 20,900 $75,240 -4%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 19,920 $79,030 +0%

Best paid

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 12,710 $141,960 +80%
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 24,120 $123,250 +56%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 32,310 $102,390 +30%

Percentages are against this occupation's national median of $78,760. Counts are jobs in that metro, not vacancies. Metros where the BLS suppressed the cell are absent rather than shown as zero.

Who is actually doing this

The score above is about what the work exposes. This is reporting about real deployments in this occupation — the difference between "could be automated" and "somebody automated it."

Monday.com

2 of 2 reported cases, with sources

Quick take — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work? One tap, anonymous, and the running tally is public. Nothing else is asked of you.

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

Field reports — what people say has changed

No field reports yet. A written account takes a paragraph rather than a tap, goes to an editor before it appears, and is the one thing on this page the rubric cannot produce on its own.

File a field report

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.

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Kept current

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