← Risk register SOC 47-5071 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

44,970 US workers · median $46,960/yr · Construction

EXPOSED

Roustabouts assemble and dismantle wellhead equipment, dig and backfill ditches, bolt flanges, clean tanks, sling loads and swab out spills — none of which a language model can touch and none of which current field robotics handles in mud, heat, and H2S. The exposure here is not AI writing your work away; it is that the job carries no license, no client relationship, and almost no decision authority, so it is priced as interchangeable labor and shrinks with rig counts, pad automation, and remote monitoring that reduces the number of hands per site. Modal worker is a general laborer on a service crew, not a lead operator.

10-year outlook: Ten-year employment tracks drilling activity and pad automation far more than AI — expect fewer hands per site with steady demand for the ticketed rigger, tanker driver, and pressure-control-qualified worker.

Score — 50/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 17 + 19 + 4 + 4 + 6 = 50.

Task resistance 17/20

Tasks largely resist digitisation. Breaking out a stuck flange with a hammer wrench, guiding a load on a tag line, and shoveling out a saltwater spill on an uneven pad are physical sequences no software substitutes for; the 17 rather than 20 reflects that some of your shift — gauging tanks, logging fluid levels, walking the pad to check for leaks — is already being pulled into remote SCADA and pad automation, so the headcount per location falls even while the remaining tasks stay manual.

Embodiment 19/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You work outdoors on a live wellsite with H2S monitors on your belt, in mud, ice, and 100-degree heat, hauling joints of pipe, digging ditches by hand where a trencher won't fit, and climbing tank batteries — a 19 because virtually nothing happens at a screen, with the point off only for the occasional in-truck paperwork and toolbox talk.

Liability shield 4/20

No licence, no signature requirement. No state licenses roustabouts; H2S awareness, SafeLand/PEC, and a Class B CDL are employer-imposed access cards you can be replaced with in a week, and the operator's engineer and the company man own the well's regulatory exposure — a 4 rather than 0 only because those safety tickets and the CDL are real barriers to walking on cold.

Trust premium 4/20

Anonymous artifact production. The operator contracts your crew's hours through a service company, and any interchangeable hand who shows up sober and rigged out fills the slot — the 4 reflects that a foreman who knows you don't drop tools and a pumper who requests your crew by name has real value in getting rehired next hitch, but no client picks the service company because of you.

Judgment & accountability 6/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. Your calls are torque specs, lockout-tagout steps, load charts, and the JSA that was written before you got on site; a 6 rather than 2 because you decide when to stop the job — a gas alarm, a frayed sling, a soft trench wall — and that stop-work authority is yours in the moment even though the well's ambiguous decisions belong to the company man.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~89% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operations Analysis, Reading Comprehension

Automotive Body and Related Repairers EXPOSED · 65/100 · you already have ~84% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Installation, Operations Analysis, Reading Comprehension, Service Orientation

Crane and Tower Operators SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~83% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Operation and Control, Reading Comprehension, Operations Analysis, Operations Monitoring

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.