← Risk register SOC 51-9197 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Tire Builders

20,770 US workers · median $57,390/yr · Production

COOKED

Tire building is machine-tending on a controlled factory floor: loading beads and plies onto a drum, tending an assembly machine, trimming and stitching, inspecting green tires for blisters and misalignment, and logging counts. The threat here isn't language AI — it's dedicated automation, since a fixed-position, repeatable assembly step is exactly what capital-intensive tire plants have been designing humans out of for two decades, and new plants come online with far fewer builder positions per line. The physical handling and defect-eye keep the job from being pure code, and union contracts slow the pace, but the task set itself offers little that resists a purpose-built machine.

10-year outlook: Expect continued headcount decline as plants retool with automated building machines; the survivors in these plants will be maintenance techs and quality specialists, not builders.

Score — 27/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 10 + 11 + 1 + 1 + 4 = 27.

Task resistance 10/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. At 10 the split is real but lopsided: drum loading, ply splicing, stitching and count logging are already done by automated builders in new plants, while hand-finishing odd sizes, retread and specialty/OTR work, plus catching a blister or off-center bead by feel before the tire goes to cure, are the parts still holding a human on the line — that's mixed, not resistant.

Embodiment 11/20

Some physical or field component. An 11 reflects that you're lifting beads and ply stock, reaching into a rotating drum, and standing in heat and rubber dust all shift, but the work happens at a fixed station on a climate-monitored floor with the machine, stock racks and travel distances laid out by the plant engineer — nothing like the unpredictable footing of a road crew or a service call.

Liability shield 1/20

No licence, no signature requirement. A 1 is honest: there's no state builder's licence, no personal certification that follows you between plants, and when a tire fails in the field the recall lands on the manufacturer under NHTSA/TREAD Act reporting, not on the name in the build-code — in-house training and lot traceability are quality controls, not a legal shield for you.

Trust premium 1/20

Anonymous artifact production. At 1 the customer never learns who built their tire; the brand, the DOT code and the warranty carry all the trust, and the buyer at the tire shop couldn't name a builder if asked.

Judgment & accountability 4/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. A 4 credits the real calls you make — scrapping a green tire, flagging a splice that's running open, stopping the machine when stock tracks off — but those decisions run against posted specs, gauge tolerances and a QC escalation path, with the plant's process engineers owning anything ambiguous.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, unionization

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers EXPOSED · 62/100 · you already have ~89% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Science, Quality Control Analysis

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters EXPOSED · 47/100 · you already have ~87% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Reading Comprehension, Science, Operations Analysis

Cleaning, Washing, and Metal Pickling Equipment Operators and Tenders EXPOSED · 42/100 · you already have ~82% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Coordination, Reading Comprehension, Science

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.