← Risk register SOC 51-4122 · reviewed 2026-08-11

Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

31,600 US workers · median $47,920/yr · Production

EXPOSED

This job already sits inside the automation it tends: the machine does the weld, and the operator loads parts, sets parameters, watches the arc, and pulls bad pieces. Modern cells with vision-guided seam tracking, adaptive parameter control, and automated loaders erode the tending and monitoring share fast, while the setup, fixturing, and troubleshooting tier — physically present, hands in the cell — holds up better. Employment is already small (31,600) and concentrated in high-volume manufacturing, where capital spending on robotics is exactly what shrinks this title.

10-year outlook: Expect continued slow contraction as welding cells get more self-correcting, with the remaining jobs concentrating in setup, robot programming, and weld inspection rather than machine tending.

Score — 37/100 resistance

Five dimensions, 0–20 each, summed. Higher means more protected. The arithmetic is shown so you can check it: 8 + 15 + 5 + 3 + 6 = 37.

Task resistance 8/20

Mixed — a routine tier and a judgment tier. Loading fixtures, hitting cycle start, watching for burn-through and gauging weld bead against a go/no-go sample are the daily core, and all four are already handled in newer cells by part-present sensors, adaptive current control and post-weld vision inspection — the 8 rather than 4 reflects the setup tier that survives: dialing in wire feed and gas flow on a new part number, shimming a fixture that's drifted, and diagnosing why the tip keeps burning back.

Embodiment 15/20

Hands-on in uncontrolled environments. You are inside the guarding to change contact tips, clear spatter off the nozzle, re-clamp a warped weldment and reach into a cell that runs hot, bright and full of fume — 15 not 19 because the cell floor, the fixture and the part geometry are engineered and repeatable, unlike a structural welder working off a beam in weather.

Liability shield 5/20

Certification preferred, not legally required. No state licence gates machine welding; a plant may want an AWS D1.1 or D17.1 procedure qualification or a Section IX operator qualification for pressure work, and that certifies the welding procedure and your ability to run it — it doesn't make you the person a failure lands on, which is the QC inspector and the engineer who wrote the WPS.

Trust premium 3/20

Anonymous artifact production. The customer receives a bracket or an exhaust assembly with a part number on it, never your name; the only relationship is with your shift lead and the guy on the next operation who notices when your welds start needing grinding.

Judgment & accountability 6/20

Executes defined procedures on defined inputs. Decisions are bounded by the WPS, the travel-speed and amperage window on the setup sheet, and the reject criteria on the visual-inspection card — you decide whether a bead undercuts badly enough to scrap and when to call maintenance, real calls but ones with a written answer and a supervisor to escalate to.

Confidence: high · reviewed 2026-08-11 · how scoring works

Tasks already automatable

What survives

Active moats: embodiment, physical-presence

How to future-proof this job

Escape hatches — adjacent fields with better verdicts

Computed from U.S. Dept. of Labor O*NET skill profiles: high overlap with what you already do, materially higher resistance score.

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers EXPOSED · 62/100 · you already have ~85% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Quality Control Analysis

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons SAFE · 67/100 · you already have ~80% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Repairing, Troubleshooting, Equipment Maintenance, Equipment Selection

Dredge Operators EXPOSED · 53/100 · you already have ~77% of the skill profile

Skills to close: Equipment Selection, Troubleshooting, Management of Personnel Resources, Operation and Control

Field report — do you do this job?

Has AI actually changed your work?

Self-reported and unverified — a sentiment signal, not a survey. One response per person per occupation; you can change your answer.

From people who do this job

Nobody has filed one yet. If you do this work, you know things the rubric can't see.

What has actually changed in your work?

Concrete beats general: a tool that arrived, a task that moved, a headcount decision you watched happen. Don't include anything that identifies you or your employer if that would put you at risk.